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To: hasbeen101 who wrote (2632)12/15/1998 2:52:00 PM
From: Punko  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3194
 
I think you have to look at the nature of the projects that command the vast percentage of IT budgets right now. From what I've seen, these projects tend to be bread and butter, char/date/number-oriented. These are your erp implementations, y2k remediations, perhaps with some basic supply chain, web content publishing, and data warehousing thrown in to boot. IMO, given the current relative ease of the requirements, rdbms are seen as sufficient to solve these bread and butter problems. Plus skills shortages (how many sql experts vs. good OO programmers out there?), tight deadlines, perceived small windows of opportunity, and rampant short term thinking preclude the risk involved in exploring new, high learning curve undertakings like the kinds of oo projects you'd need to demonstrate the technology's benefits.

That said, things will change. After the y2k panic is over, and when more bandwidth becomes available, you'll see more ambitious technology leaders or early adopters begin demonstrating the business benefits of oo technology that you've mentioned in bread and butter operations. Soon thereafter, the "followers" will be unable to ignore those benefits and rush to mimic the leaders. The question is "will ODBMS (and ODI products in particular) be among the technologies that the leaders successfully and undeniably leverage to clearly demonstrate top and bottom line business benefits".

I'm betting yes, so I patiently hold. But it is a somewhat speculative bet, given my belief that a lot can happen between now and 2001-2002, when I think ODI's judgement day will arive.