To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (14344 ) 12/17/1998 8:41:00 AM From: Kerm Yerman Respond to of 15196
IN THE NEWS / TSE Gets A Boost From Oil Sector As U.S. Bombs Iraq Canadian oil companies led the Toronto stock market higher Wednesday as world oil prices rose amid reports that Iraq was facing military strikes over another squabble with UN weapons inspectors. About an hour after the North American markets closed, anti-aircraft guns opened fire in Baghdad and a White House spokesman confirmed that U.S. forces had launched air strikes against Iraq. Earlier in the day, UN weapons monitors were ordered to evacuate Baghdad, one day after chief UN inspector Richard Butler reported that Iraq had reneged on its promise of full co-operation with his team. Iraq and its neighbours in the Persian Gulf are among the world's biggest producers of oil. Iraq alone produces three per cent of the world's oil, but has been unable to sell the crude on world markets except only under limited conditions. Any military threat in the region inevitably leads to higher oil prices -- and bigger returns for oil companies. In one sector of the markets, the reaction was predictable: the rise in oil prices pushed oil stocks higher on fears that escalated conflict in the Middle East could cut oil supplies. Sabre-rattling throughout the day sent oil prices surging 83 cents (U.S.) to $12.38 in New York, a 7.2-per-cent rise. As news of the attack hit the wires shortly before 5 p.m. EST, crude prices jumped again in after-hours trading, climbing by as much as 30 cents before easing back somewhat. Oil prices have gained 16 per cent so far this week. The jump in oil prices followed a similar pattern to the sudden increase in prices in anticipation of the 1991 Persian Gulf war, but was of much smaller magnitude yesterday. In the weeks ahead of the launch of Operation Desert Storm, crude prices rose 25 per cent to a peak of about $32 before eventually tapering back down. In New York, oil stocks provided some rare upside action in the stock market, with Exxon up $1.56 at $75.56, Chevron up $1.12 1/2 at $84.12 1/2 and Mobil up $1.19 at $89.62 1/2. Other stocks slid backward as investors fretted about the possibility that Clinton will be impeached this week, said Jim Mountain, managing director of equity trading at ScotiaMcLeod in Toronto. Clinton continues to suffer from a steady loss of support from moderate politicians who could scuttle a bid to impeach the president and have him stand trial in the U.S. Senate. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 32.70 points to close at 8,790.60. In Toronto, strength in key gold and oil stocks boosted the resource-heavy share market at Wednesday's close. Both gold and oil groups make up more than 10 percent of the 300 Composite Index. "They tend to be volatile but that's what really drove our market," Kapala added. "There's speculation that there's some value there." "It's one of the times that we've done well because we have a strong resource component," said Todd Kapala, investment specialist at Priority Brokerage. Investors finally tired of beating up gold and oil issues and instead climbed aboard, Kapala said. But some didn't see yesterday's boost in oil prices as solely driven by the Iraq crisis. "There are also some underlying fundamentals that I think are helping to underpin this," said Doug Gowland, an analyst at First Marathon Securities Ltd. in Toronto. These include reports of lower reinvestment in oil production among states not in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, as well as a 20-per-cent drop in the production of natural gas in North America, he said. In addition, a meeting today in Madrid with Mexico, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela -- all major producers -- to discuss oil prices was also on the mind of analysts and traders. The TSE 300 composite index rose 47.16 points or 0.76% to close 6,283.83. Turnover was hot and heavy at 127 million shares worth C$1.7 billion. Kapala noted that many fund managers are juggling their portfolios as the end of the year drew near. 10 of Toronto's 14 sub-indexes moved upward. The oil and gas sector added 3.72 per cent. Major moves among Canadian oil stocks included Alberta Energy Co. Ltd.,rising $1.75 to $34.50, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. rose $1.60 to $23.45, Talisman Energy Inc. $1.50 to $28, Northstar Energy Corp. gained 90 cents at $43.75 and Canadian Occidental Petroleum Ltd. gained 75 cents at $18.60. . Shares of junior oil companies also posted gains. For example, Probe Exploration Inc. climbed 37 cents to $2.29. The gold stocks performed well, adding 3.62 per cent. Barrick Gold Corp. gained $1.80 at $31.55, Franco Nevada was up 80 cents at $30.30 and Placer Dome Inc. closed at $19.25, up 10 cents. February bullion prices rose $2.20 to $296.50 an ounce on Comdex in New York. The biggest loser on the TSE was the conglomerates sector, which lost 0.90 per cent after Canadian Pacific Ltd. dropped 70 cents to $31.65. The financial services sector also performed poorly Wednesday. It gave up 0.55 per cent as Royal Bank dropped $1.45 to $71.25 and Bank of Montreal was off $1.05 to $60.45. Among the most active stocks were Leitch Tech. Corp. gained $1.20 to $36,00 and BCE Inc., Canada's most widely held stock, was up $1.25 to $54.15.