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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (39825)12/18/1998 6:15:00 AM
From: accountclosed  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Skeets,

I don't usually enter the MU debate, so perhaps this point is already in the discussion. But isn't there another issue that the 200 valuation misses: I'll explain.

It sounds like you guys argue whether we will get to 12.00 per share on earnings or whatever the ridiculous projection is. And correctly, imo you make the case that transitions to xxxxyyyyzzzzram (or whatever the next generation is called) won't be smooth, especially while there is old generation in the channel. And then you don't believe we will get to 12.00.

My point is say it is a rough period to get to 12.00, but we do get there. Isn't the 200 stock price a ridiculous multiple even then? GM used to trade for like 3 times peak earnings. It seems to me that the 200 model on mu, both assumes a lot in the shorter term to get to the earnings and assumes that once we get there, the cyclical nature of the business has been tamed forever.

Opinion?



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (39825)12/18/1998 8:13:00 AM
From: Bill/WA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Skeeter,
Thanks.
Let me bother you with this question.
What time frame or action separates the "change"?
ie: on 12/16 the change of the Mar50 (NLQOJ) was +1 1/8.
From 'what point in time or action' to the 'last trade' incompasses the 1 1/8 rise?
TIA
Bill/WA

ps. hope thats clear<G>