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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Knighty Tin who wrote (39912)12/18/1998 1:05:00 PM
From: Timothy Liu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
I don't know because I don't own them. Hate their volatility. Semi equipment though would benefit (sell more equipment).

Tim



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (39912)12/18/1998 1:25:00 PM
From: Richard Gampell  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Mike,

I've been here a long, long while (too busy reading the thread to post much), but Mary's recent comment about not wanting to be scared out of good companies' stock made me think of something. I had heard a comment similar to hers on a radio talk-show a few days earlier.

My question is this: If stock prices spend so much time so far away from rational value --- in recent years above, perhaps below in future years --- doesn't this permanently *lower* the rational value itself? The long-term volatility that is derived from such large deviations means greater risk, hence lower value, yes? You called Mary's approach a see-no-evil-hear-no-evil sort of thing. But --- to make an obvious point --- a market that inspires an anti-reason approach is a market that investors will eventually turn wary of, since predictability is something investors want.

People talk about volatility in regard to options-pricing, of course, but no one ever says that the market mania of the '90s means lower prices for stocks than if it had never happened. Or am I missing something?

Rich



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (39912)12/18/1998 5:13:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
To All, I bought a first third of IBM April 150 puts today, replacing my 110s that perspired worthless today.

MB