To: KeepItSimple who wrote (30494 ) 12/19/1998 3:59:00 PM From: llamaphlegm Respond to of 164684
hmmmm -- she still loves yahoo, yet is "frustrated" by amzn's inability to prove that its financials work yet -- william - piece of advice -- don't try to bulls--t people who are literate - that one quote sounds a lot like glenn r for the past six months here and not someone who is still bullish on amzn (and as you point out, she's allowed to pimp the stock for the public since the public does not pay her -- unlike you and amzn which will probably need a secondary offering soon) Meeker admits she's been somewhat frustrated that Amazon hasn't "proven that its financial model works." But she says Amazon's critics are missing the big picture. "The point is: Given that the market opportunities are so large, should companies be allowed to lose money to seize the No. 1 spot?" Meeker says for Amazon, the answer is yes. And the stock market clearly agrees with her. Amazon's detractors say it has an outrageous valuation for a company that operates in a low-margin business like bookselling. And now, they scoff, Amazon is moving into an even lower-margin area by selling compact discs, tapes and other music. "The problem is that people may suddenly wake up one morning and say Amazon and other 'Net companies are just retailers and value them at 30 times earnings, not at 200 or 1,000 times earnings," says Michael Murphy, publisher of the California Technology Stock Letter. Jonathan Cohen, Merrill Lynch's Internet analyst, opined last week that Amazon is worth just $50 a share. But that didn't do much to dent investors' enthusiasm. Murphy says America Online's success has done an enormous amount to legitimize 'Net stocks because AOL showed that spending heavily to gain the No. 1 spot can eventually prove profitable. At long last, AOL is now capitalizing on its 14 million subscribers after spending more than $1 billion to build that base. Yet Murphy feels that other Internet companies lack the advantages of AOL, which gets to collect monthly membership fees from its 14 million users. Yahoo trades at an even loftier multiple of earnings than AOL does, but Meeker loves the stock anyway. Her view: "Yahoo's revenue generation hasn't caught up with its importance as an organization." She cites the appeal of Yahoo's 40 million monthly users to advertisers: "Yahoo has cachet as the leading place, the coolest place, the best place."