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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: cfimx who wrote (5494)12/19/1998 11:35:00 PM
From: Paul Chapman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78665
 
Check out SVIN. It's a California grape producer currently selling close to Yahoo's bookvalue of $4.24. The really interesting thing is that it lists its 3,600 acre land holding at the original purchase price of about $1,900 per acre, and cultivated vineyard property is currently selling for as high as $50,000 per acre... rereader.com. They have 3 lines of credit secured by acreage valued by their creditors at a very conservative $5,000 to $9,000. Even if you ignore the $50,000 valuation and use $9,000 per acre, the adjusted book value is close to $10. This means the stock is really selling at less than half book value on the most conservative basis. Check it out yourself.



To: cfimx who wrote (5494)12/20/1998 2:35:00 AM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78665
 
Twister, yes those were Graham's last reported methods that I could find. However, he had two categories of investor, defensive and enterprising. Also, dividend yields, which he appreciated, are now much less than they were in 1976. He liked consistency in dividends and earnings in some of his writings. I'm looking here at page 209 of the Intelligent Investor. My belief is that in l997 or 1998, when Philip Morris (a Sanborn buy)was posted here on the thread, it was a value stock that Ben Graham would approve of - it would meet his criteria in the Intelligent Investor which IMO he would have modified slightly (like lowering the dividend %) to meet the times. MO may meet it now, I've not checked. Boeing too, when it was posted here might qualify (although it has no dividend) based on low price to past average earnings

As I mentioned in the last post, I have a real problem with what fund managers SAY and what they actually do. Your question about how Graham would respond to someone who has no use for price/book or div. yields or pe ratios - if Sanborn actually meant what he said - that would shock Ben IMO. Or maybe not, since the once great Sanborn was "up only 10% vs. 14% for the average stock fund" when the Barron's article I am referring to came out.

I say bully for you if you've found the ratios Sanborn uses and are applying them successfully. However, our discussion about Sanborn and other value investors is no evidence that Graham's methods are invalid OR outdated for the individual investor.

You have criticized posts here about stocks wherein the posters do not prove that they are value stocks. I look forward to seeing posts from you which will define those 1998-style value stocks you have bought -- ones which are not dependent on pe ratios,div. yields, price/book or the cyclical nature of the businesses.