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To: Gary Walker who wrote (30528)12/20/1998 9:46:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
The Internet Capitalist
SG Cowen Internet Research
15
Of course, this latest move by the NASD
follows recent moves by Charles Schwab,
Waterhouse Securities, DLJ Direct to raise
margin account requirements for certain
Internet stocks. Both of these strategies are
directionally correct but probably won't be
impactful except on the margins. Some market
event (or perhaps series of events) is likely the
only antidote to the volatility in the Internet
sector; perhaps a big pre-announcement (recall
that Sportsline, not often confused with the
term industry bellwether, caused a nice market
correction of its own when it pre-announced
its Q3) could dampen demand for these IPOs
and create the normal trading that the NASD
and brokers desire. Regulations and technical
corrections, we're afraid, just won't cut it.
Froth Watch, Revisited
Whereas we were toying with the notion of
creating a permanent section within Valuation
Watch called Froth Watch, we now realize that
we can simply have a Froth Watch section on
an ad-hoc basis as market conditions warrant.
(Recall that the purpose to highlight what we
believe to be excellent indicators of the
indiscriminate shareholder value allocation
that the market has been practicing in this
sector). Suffice it to say, market conditions still
warrant, but we've come up with no real gems
this week, so we'll keep our powder dry for
now and hope that, as the year end draws nigh,
rational expectations will replace great
expectations.
The Calendar: Week of 12/21 & 12/28
Christmas, Hanukkah, Ramadan, etc. Enjoy
your holidays; please only read (or re-read)
The Internet Capitalist at Church (or Temple,
or…) if you absolutely must.
Diversions:
Movies
You've Got Mail, the Sleepless In Cyberspace
step-cousin, gets accolades for its star power
(without Hanks and Ryan, the movie wouldn't
rate a complete sentence), but falls just short
by being altogether too cutesy for this research
group. This despite a free ticket, a 48 hour
head start on the masses, and a great buffet on
AOL afterward. Nevertheless, the branding
benefits to AOL could not have been more
evident; we suspect that, as a customer
acquisition vehicle, You've Got Mail could rank
a close second to Windows 98 this Q4.
Sports
Whilst the NBA negotiates, the Jets ruminate;
Saturday's Jets/Bills game (where the lowly-for-a-
decade Jets could snag their first division title
since ‘69) could even provide more
entertainment value than two sell-side analysts
sparring over such effluvia as their AMZN price
target.
Search the Web for Holiday Spirit
For those of you that are having difficulty
finding the holiday spirit, jump on the Web
(it's so much easier than hopping a cab to
Rockefeller Center). Our recommendations
include: christmas.com where your kids can
register to become EIB (elves in black);
santa.com which lets you set up your own
private, family chat room and finally, for the
Scrooge in all of us, xmascoal.com with easy
and affordable gifts for that not-so special
someone.



To: Gary Walker who wrote (30528)12/20/1998 11:06:00 PM
From: Victor Lazlo  Respond to of 164684
 
<< Do you suppose that the folks who have been getting it all along really do or are they so blinded by the money that they have rationalized the individual stories?>>

I think that retail investors understand the concept of momentum, and are trying to get a piece of it.

Victor