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Intelligent Transportation Systems
The global market for in-vehicle ITS systems will grow from the current $1 billion to over $18 billion per year in 5 years, according to a new report from Allied Business Intelligence, Intelligent Transportation Systems: Wireless In-Vehicle Navigation and Communication Technologies, Global Markets & Forecasts.²
³Collision avoidance systems (CAS) will be the big market winner. It¹s
getting its opportunity to shine on trucks first. Eaton VORAD is
fielding a CAS for trucks that has reduced fleet accident rates by 30 to 70 percent. The system is installed on over 10,000 trucks,² said Michael Kujawa, senior transportation analyst with Allied Business Intelligence, Inc. ³The CAS market will surpass $10 billion per year within 5 years.².-- ABI's "Intelligent Transportation Systems: Wireless In-Vehicle Navigation and Communication Technologies, Global Markets & Forecasts"
Millimeter Wave
As established wireless markets draw closer to maturity, system
suppliers and component manufacturers are seeking new applications to
maintain double digit growth. For many, the answer is in Millimeter
Wave. A number of new and existing services, such as 38 GHz radio,
broadband satellite, LMDS, and auto collision warning systems promise
explosive growth over the next ten years.
Overall, shipments of these systems, not including point to point
millimeter wave radio links, are expected to grow from $33 million in
1998 to over $1.2 billion in 2003, with sharper growth occurring after
this time period.
-- ABI's "Millimeter Wave: 1998: Broadband Wireless and Automotive Radar Markets, Opportunities, & Forecasts"
Bandwidth On-Demand Satellite Systems
The rise of global voice systems as well as the regional voice systems
means communications will now be globally-based. However, it will take
time for these systems to be up and running, as most broadband services, for example, will not launch before the 1999 to 2004 time frame.Broadband service is the last of three distinct groups of new
satellite-based services to get off the ground: voice services will be
the first, short messaging services second. Satellite-based short
messaging services, providing monitoring and tracking among other
applications, will also become an attractive market with 19.43 milliion terminals in use by 2007, according to the ABI aggressive scenario.-- ABI's "Bandwidth On-Demand Satellite Systems: 1998 Global Voice, Regional Voice, Little LEO and Broadband"
Communications Wire & Cable
While it remains chic to talk of the web generation and predict the
future demographics of "Joe Internet Buyer", the real winners in the
information revolution are companies that produce the infrastructure
that make the Internet. One segment of that infrastructure,
communications wire & cable, is experiencing rapid growth.
Through 2000, annual growth in the market value of copper cable used in US premises applications will grow at a rate of 15% or higher, but then will decline to 10% by 2003. Growth rates of fiber optic cable used in US premises applications mostly multi-mode cable will increase from 10% in 1998 to as high as 27% in 2003.
-- ABI's "Communications Wire & Cable: US Premise and Outside Plant
Markets Coaxial, Fiber, Twisted Pair"
Digital Signal Processors
The DSP (digital signal processors) market shows some of the most
aggressive growth of any high technology sector, from $4.3 billion in
1998 to $8.5 billion in 2002, far exceeding the general semiconductor
market.
DSPs are covering a range of applications in all sectors of the economy,
including cellular phones and telecommunications systems, modems,
network equipment, consumer electronics, office equipment, automobile
engines and powertrains, robots and machine vision systems, and many
more. The chips will enable applications like speech recognition, where
ordinary household appliances will be controlled by spoken words.
Already, the average person in North America interacts with a DSP-based device every ten minutes.The picture is clouded, however by a variety of factors that bring a sense of instability to forecasts for future DSP markets. Most important is the blurring of boundaries between DSPs and other circuits, like general purpose processors, microcontrollers and hybrid chips.-- ABI's "Digital Signal Processors: North American Markets, Competing Architectures & Forecasts
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