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Non-Tech : Tulipomania Blowoff Contest: Why and When will it end? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zirdu who wrote (40)	12/22/1998 11:13:00 AM
From: Zirdu	Respond to of 3543

After posting my first prediction, that the drop would start on the first trading day of the next year, Jan 4th, 1999, I see I was not the first to make this prediction. So here is my second prediction: There will be weakness during the first week of trading in 1999, and great volitility. However, the 40% drop will not begin until the SECOND week of 1999. These stocks have been so strong, that it will take a week of weakness for the truth to settle in. So, my second guess is that the net stocks named will begin their drop of 40% with trading beginning January 10th. The reason is people taking their capital gains in 1999, delayed for a week for the stockholders to become convinced that there is no more profit to be made by holding further into 1999, and likely just a lot more loss.