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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCoolG who wrote (12838)12/22/1998 10:23:00 PM
From: robert duke  Respond to of 13594
 
Thank You,
Now lets set some goal for ourself for the next 6 months to 12 months ahead. Now that you are part of the group get ready to make some money. I have been in since 57 per share. Yes presplit the stock is like 244 a share which is not bad.

Step # one

Earnings ending fiscal 99 whihc end about june 1

.60 per share is my estimate. most people estimate about .56 I am factoring in a good xmas and other wisper numbers which are higher than my estimate.

but .60 x 250 = $150 per share.
but .60 x 300 = $180 per share.

This stock needs a rest. I think after the run up this week and then xmas people will relalize this and and let the stock take a slllide to 130.

Step #2

Figure out what end of the year 99 earnings will be .
Estimates I am comming up with will be about .80

so .80 x 250= $200 per share.
so .80 x 300= $240 per share.

Step #3 let's also be realistic.

I am estimating a stock price of about 150-175 by june 1st.

then I am estimating a stock price of about 240 by dec 99. or 120 post split.

We could see best case two 2-1 splits and a stock price back up to 100. which would be heavenly.

Rduke