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Strategies & Market Trends : LastShadow's Position Trading -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jay Lyons who wrote (4791)	12/22/1998 10:05:00 PM
From: LastShadow	Respond to of 43080

Pre Holiday Seasonality, Market Cap and Dog of the Dow Oops - almost forgot to post this: Christmas has a different sort of preseason effect - The first day (tomorrow) has averages Negative 7% with the day before Christmas at Positive 15% - This means if you are loking to take mid to long term holds over the long weekend, go long Thursday Morning. The Dog of the DOW choice to go long for next year would be IP as it is the 2nd lowest priced (CAT has problems, never go with the worst of the losers...) New Year's is the best with +31% and +19.6%, so for longer term buys, those are the optimum days to go long. Also... The market cap & revenue comparison between some of e-commerce companies and the traditional retailers. Stock PriceMarket Cap Last Qtr Rev. Amazon (AMZN) 318 3/4 16.8 bln 154 mln Sears (S) 41 1/4 15.8 bln 9.7 bln eBay (EBAY) 296 3/8 11.9 bln 12.9 mln Best Buy (BBY) 53 15/16 5.4 bln 2.4 bln Onsale (ONSL) 68 1.3 bln 57.8 mln CompUSA (CPU) 11 15/16 1.1 bln 1.4 bln uBid (UBID) 84 1/8 750 mln n/a OfficeMax (OMX) 10 1/4 1.1 bln 1.1bln As you can see from the table, e-commerce sites are pricing in one heck of a strong holiday season. lastshadow