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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Broken_Clock who wrote (33466)12/28/1998 10:35:00 AM
From: MonsieurGonzo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
Papya; RE:" Deep, DEEP DooDooDrillerz "

>Do you have info on Chippy that makes you more bullish? I know
they have a unique niche in the deepwater arena, and I assume that
they are not seeing earnings deterioration...


no... just the chartz, amigo. Some old oiler here in Houston smiled
at me and said, "wahl, they's ain't g'wan t'zero, son! "

...though sometimes I wonder (^_^)

threadz wid' me Dudes, FWIW...

-Steve

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Berney; RE:" Bloated Whales, Not "

If you're up late again {grin} run these #@!!*(% things through F/A:

SLB
HAL
CXIPY
RIG
RON
SII
TDW
BHI
NBR
NE
RDC
GLM
FLC
VRC
GLBL


The familiar components of the PHLX:OSX.X - Oil Service Sector Index;
it's price-weighted, in the order that I listed them, with the
exception of CXIPY - Coflexip ADR, which is my own,
personal torture machine @ ~35 (^_^)

-Steve

MG, Re: Whale Oil

Who me up late?

Funny how we think alike. Actually had a limit order in on GLM
at $8 5/8, but took it off to buy the rodent again (DIS). I agree
that this is a good entry point. However, I think they are still
going to bounce for some time to come.

The problem is some very tough quarter over comparisons. For example,
TDW had $1.21 vs. $ .66 estimated this quarter. Next quarter is even
worse. This is common in this industry.

VRC is the only company that has had annual sequential revenue
and EPS growth. And now, the drum role.

CURRENT HISTORICAL EPS PROJ FA
SYMBOL PE AVERAGE ROE GROWTH SCORE

SLB 21.5 30.9 19.4 17.3 4
HAL 90.9 28.0 17.6 14.9 0
CXIPY NM NM 3.9 24.8 1
RIG 8.4 29.2 8.8 27.9 7
RON 8.2 NM 21.9 16.3 8
SII 12.7 18.1 21.8 15.0 8
TDW 5.2 23.1 31.6 14.7 10
BHI NM 56.4 3.7 15.0 2
NBR 9.4 47.8 15.8 23.5 8
NE 9.1 34.8 22.4 25.2 7
GLM 6.2 NM 38.6 14.9 6
FLC 8.1 NM NM 26.2 2
VRC 6.8 26.2 19.7 12.1 11
GLBL 9.0 16.9 15.5 22.9 8

Enjoy!

Berney

Berney; RE:" Whale Oil "

Thanks for the F/A crunch; TB. VRC - Varco, eh? I've never liked
TDW - Tidewater much; it's really transport rather than one of the
three OSX.X sector's sub-sectors: "drillers", "machinery&equip" or
"services".

T/A-wise, bellwethers SLB & HAL are almost 100% auto-correlated,
and perhaps the safest holdings; though FSESX - Fidelity Select
Energy Services Fund
is the easy way to bet on oilers in '99.

-Steve

MG, Nice Call

The oils definitely acted like they found a bottom.

BTW, The most interesting in the group was BHI. It has a lousy
fundamental score, and didn't impress me much as a company. But,
last month all 10 of the top ten mutual funds that own the stock
were buying and buying big; to the tune of 6.5% of the outstanding
shares.

It seems to me that you could pick one of each category (driller,
equipment, services and/or transport) and you could do just as well
as a mutual fund. What really impressed me was the 52 week high on
the stocks. You got to figure that even if it took them three or four
years to see those highs again, you had a really good rate of return.

Berney