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Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Anthony@Pacific who wrote (1415)12/23/1998 10:35:00 PM
From: HiSpeed  Respond to of 122087
 
Heads up on ZAP from TSC:

Commentary Features: *Extra* Zapata Is In
-- Should You Get Out?

By David Simons
Special to TheStreet.com
12/23/98 6:05 PM ET

Zapata (ZAP:NYSE), the once obscure company that morphed
from petroleum seller to fish-meal flogger then to Web-stock
superstar and back, today announced the revival of its "Internet
initiative," abandoned just two months ago. In stunning
confirmation that greed has no memory, the stock nearly
doubled on the news, closing at 14 1/4.

But consider the past: Zapata's moves have been uncanny
contrary indicators of both the stock market in general and
Internet stocks in particular. Here's a rundown of the most
recent signals:

July 6: Sell

Just 10 trading days before the Dow closing peak of
9295, and right about when Internet stocks began to roll
over, Zapata announced plans to acquire or invest in 31
Web sites and split into two companies -- one focusing
on the Internet, the other on the company's fish-meal
business.

The stock doubled on the day. Volume was an
astonishing 10 million shares. Wall Street firms such as
Deutsche Bank Securities put out buy ratings, with price
targets up to 25% higher.

Oct. 15: Buy

Just seven trading days after the Dow closing low of
7732, Zapata announces that "after giving full
consideration to the volatile state of the global financial
markets and the disproportionately negative impact on
the Internet sector, it will not be proceeding with its
previously announced Internet acquisitions and other
related transactions."

And on Nov. 3, ZAP discontinued its dividend.

Dec. 23: Sell

Today's announcement likely has much to do with the
company's defending itself against the nearly two dozen
securities fraud class-action suits launched in the wake
of the abandonment of its original plans. Nonetheless,
Zapata's record of exquisite timing makes you stop and
think...

David Simons is managing director of Digital Video
Investments, an institutional research firm. He has been
involved in computer and online services for 25 years as
entrepreneur, adviser and investor. At the time of publication,
neither Simons nor his firm had any position in stocks
mentioned in this column, though positions can change at any
time. While he cannot provide investment advice or
recommendations, he invites you to comment on his column by
sending a letter to commentarymail@thestreet.com