Young blades wait in the wings to take over Japan
By Tony Boyd, Tokyo
Sakie Fukushima, who is said to be Japan's most powerful woman, has not voted in a national election for eight years.
The vice-president and partner of international headhunters Korn Ferry says she is disillusioned with Japanese politics and the arrogance of leading figures in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party.
"They have the boldness to believe that Japanese people are stupid," she says. "I am willing to vote, but I don't want to compromise just for the sake of voting."
She says the Government's failure to confront the financial system crisis when it emerged four years ago was a typical example of the arrogance of politicians and their reliance on the poor advice of bureaucrats.
"We are also at fault because we believed what the politicians said about the banks and left it to them to fix the problem."
Fukushima, who is one of an estimated 40 million Japanese, or 40 per cent of the electorate, who did not vote at the national election in July, said she held some hope of change in the political system because of the emergence of a new breed of politicians.
"I am concentrating more on people who have overseas experience of democratic values, people who feel not just completely the interests of Japan, but have a more balanced view," she says.
"I have some friends who are aggressive politicians who have been elected in the last three or four years, aged in their early 40s, and we are expecting them to lead the change."
Fukushima did not name any of the new breed of politicians, but a handful came to the fore during the recent intense negotiations in the Diet over the terms of Japan's ¥60 trillion ($800 billion) bank rescue package.
Leading the list of young politicians is Nobuteru Ishihara, 41, a former television journalist whose father is Shintaro Ishihara, a former Diet member who became famous with the ultra-nationalist book, A Japan That Can Say No.
The LDP's Ishihara was a member of the Diet finance committee that thrashed out a the bank nationalisation plan which is now going full steam with the government takeover of the Long Term Credit Bank and Nippon Credit Bank.
During an eight-week process of drawing up the half dozen bank rescue bills passed by the Parliament in October, Ishihara participated in television debates in which he was openly critical of the Prime Minister, Keizo Obuchi, and the Finance Minister, Kiichi Miyazawa.
"I would say Prime Minister Obuchi is responsible for allowing the financial controversy to stretch out for such a long time," he said once.
During one television debate, a politician from the Democratic Party of Japan, Katsuya Okada, asked: "What if we nationalise LTCB?" Ishihara said he would look into it.
Another young turk who played a leading role in developing the financial bills was Yukio Edano, 34, a lawyer and member of the Democratic Party of Japan.
Edano told the Asahi Shimbun that he and other young politicians shared a sense of urgency about confronting the banking crisis. He said they deliberately bypassed the Ministry of Finance, which later failed in a bid to save LTCB from its inevitable insolvency, by trying to engineer a merger with Sumitomo Trust and Banking. MoF also failed in a bid to save Nippon Credit Bank by trying to engineer a merger with Chuo Trust and Banking.
Two other politicians who had their fingerprints on the bank rescue deal were Yasuhisa Shiozaki, 47, a former Bank of Japan official educated at Tokyo and Harvard universities, and Motohisa Furukawa, 32, a former MoF official educated at Tokyo and Columbia universities. Shiozaki, who is a member of the LDP, showed his commitment to reform and transparency when he pushed for banks to make provision against 20 per cent of their category two problem loans.
There is an estimated ¥60 trillion of category two problem loans in the balance sheets of the major banks, and had Shiozaki's recommendation been accepted, half a dozen banks would have faced insolvency.
In the end, Shiozaki's recommendation was not adopted but, based on this month's sudden nationalisation of NCB, a similar line of thinking is pervading the Financial Supervisory Authority.
The younger breed of politicians in Japan is more focused on policy issues than the sorts of political manoeuvring which has characterised Japanese politics for decades and is engulfing the LDP as it merges with the Opposition Liberal Party.
Ishihara, for example, is a strong supporter of a changing of the guard in the LDP, having energetically backed Junichiro Koizumi in the July ballot for the presidency of the LDP which Obuchi won.
Koizumi, who at 57 is relatively young by Japanese standards, supports radical reform of the bureaucracy and the privatisation of the MoF's perennial honey pot, the Postal Savings System.
Before the vote for the LDP presidency, a group of 36 young LDP politicians issued a statement urging fellow party members to vote with their hearts. Their ranks were dominated by politicians from urban electorates who know their seats are the most vulnerable if the LDP does not change.
That election was a watershed in the history of the LDP, according to Professor Peter Drysdale, executive director of the Australia-Japan Research Centre. "The LDP Party election in July was a totally new phenomenon that signalled a change in the political system," he says. "Never in the future will we have LDP politicians making leadership changes behind closed doors."
Although Drysdale admits the Obuchi Government has "neutered" itself since taking power, the rise of young politicians in the ruling party and the Opposition holds out hope to people like Sakie Fukushima that Japan will have a brighter future afr.com.au
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