'I. No Plan B At IRS
"Very Thin Margin Of Tolerance"
At the end of March 1998, Internal Revenue Commissioner Charles O. Rossotti asked the Senate Finance Committee to delay implementation of several provisions of a bill designed to overhaul the IRS. The agency is already overwhelmed by two tasks:
1) Much of 1998 was spent making software changes mandated by the 1997 Taxpayer Relief Act.
2) The year 1999 must be devoted to testing the Y2K repairs made in 1998 on about 75,000 computer application programs, 1,400 minicomputers, more than 100,000 desktop computers, and more than 80 mainframe computers.
Business Week (Feb. 23, 1998) asked John Yost, the director of the Year 2000 project at the IRS, if everything will be fixed in time. "I'm not making any promises just yet," he responded. Mr. Rossotti has set January 31, 1999 as the deadline for fixing Y2K. "We have a very thin margin of tolerance to make this whole thing work," he told USA Today (April 2, 1998). He added, "There is no Plan B." One Of The Biggest Problems
On September 17, 1998, in his first public address as Chief Information Officer for the Internal Revenue Service, Paul Cosgrave presented his plans to modernize the agency's computer systems and improve customer service at the embattled IRS. According to the September 18, 1998 issue of Federal Computer Week, Cosgrave said his vision for the IRS includes installing a standardized computer system, organizing a new management team, lobbying for a larger computer-training budget, encouraging staff to be more customer-friendly and rewriting the agency's mission statement to include the phrase "service to taxpayers."
Cosgrave's agenda is in reaction to IRS reform legislation approved during the summer of 1998 to keep the agency on track to modernize its infrastructure. The measure, the most sweeping reform of the tax-collection agency since 1952, focused mainly on revamping the IRS to make it more taxpayer-friendly and to curb abuses by aggressive agents, which are goals Cosgrave said he wants to support by improving the agency's use of information technology.
One of the biggest problems Cosgrave is dealing with is the Year 2000 problem, which he said could cause some isolated problems in the 1999 tax filing season. Cosgrave said he expects some computer problems because "when you're changing so many codes that need to be tested, there are going to be some problems.''
The extent of the problems, such as erroneously telling a taxpayer that he owes more than he has paid, should be limited, an IRS spokesman said. Cosgrave said the IRS will spend close to a billion dollars for its millennium fixes. "It's unfortunately necessary,'' he said. "We have systems that date back to the '60s.'' Cosgrave said the IRS has 50 percent of its computer systems fixed for the Year 2000 problem and expects to have at least 90 percent fixed by 1999. Big Brother, Big Mess
The history of information technology modernization at the IRS isn't very reassuring about the agency's prospects for Y2K readiness. On May 15, 1997, the IRS issued "Request for Comments for Modernization Prime Systems Integration Services Contract" which was a distress call to private industry to bail out the taxing agency. According to this document, the IRS has been totally disorganized for years, notwithstanding a modernization program during the 1980s and early 1990s--which in many ways exacerbated the situation. "Overall, the IRS computing environment evolved into an extraordinarily complex array of legacy and stand-alone modernized systems with respect to both connectivity and interoperability between the mainframe platforms and the plethora of distributed systems." The IRS has more than 62 million lines of computer code, three big mainframes, and 60 other mainframes in 10 regional offices. According to the RFC, "None of the mainframes are century date compliant, thereby necessitating immediate actions ranging from systems software upgrades to replacement." Thousands of applications systems are "undocumented," i.e., lost, if they ever existed.
There is no central data base. The IRS "neither maintains the source payment documents nor posts either detailed transaction-specific payment or tax case information to the Master Files. Instead, the detailed tax and tax case information is stored on stovepiped systems with stand-alone databases which, for the most part, are not integrated with either the Master Files or the corporate on-line system."
In 1988, the IRS implemented the Tax System Modernization (TSM) plan to upgrade and modernize the agency's technology. The program created stand-alone ("stovepipe") systems for the 10 service centers based on "the principles of distributed computer processing, an approach to computing en vogue during the late 1980s and 1990s." The numerous databases are difficult to synchronize and to manage. The system is breaking down. Y2K will break it for sure. The IRS observes:
One of the more fundamental and wrong-headed myths concerning Tax Systems Modernization is the nature of the technical problem: to modernize legacy systems. Regrettably, the challenge is far more overarching: to modernize functioning but aged legacy systems which have been nearly irreparably overlaid by and interfaced with a tangle of stovepiped distributed applications systems and networked infrastructures.
In 1995, the General Accounting Office reported that TSM was a disaster. The system's multiple computers and databases could not integrate with existing computers. It made the IRS even less efficient. Congress ordered the IRS to produce a new modernization plan by May 15, 1997. A seven-volume Blueprint for Modernization was produced and the Request for Comments was issued. (See the "Today/Target" flow chart.) The Goal Is To "Stay In Business"
The May 1997 RFC document states, "Under the crushing time constraints of the millennium change," the IRS is working with its current contractors on interim Y2K fixes, but admits that it "lacks the capacities and capabilities to simultaneously manage the existing workload and effectively partner with the private sector to commence Modernization. Any reasonable strategy to move forward, therefore, would focus on managing the immediate crisis--'stay in business' while building capacity to prepare for future Modernization." CIO Was Worried About Living On This Planet
According to the October 17, 1997 issue of the Year 2000 Outlook, an e-mail weekly service of the Information Technology Association of America (ITAA), Arthur Gross, who was then Chief Information Officer at the IRS, spoke at their industry gathering in McLean, Virginia [http://www.itaa.org/year2000.htm]. Apparently, he was as concerned about his agency's Y2K problem as I surmised from the RFC. He was quoted as saying, "Failure to achieve compliance with Year 2000 will jeopardize our way of living on this planet for some time to come." 1997 Taxpayer Relief Disrupts Y2K Fix
According to the ITAA account of his candid speech, "Mr. Gross used words like 'massive' and 'numbing' to describe a program which has jumped from three people to 800. With the IRS software inventory 'not fully fleshed out,' Gross said the Y2K accounting covers up to 70 million lines of code, 95,000 components, and 120 mission critical systems." Not only does the IRS have to achieve Y2K compliance, but also the agency must simultaneously change its software to reflect the 1998 and 1999 changes required by the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997. He indicated that the IRS was also preparing worst-case contingency plans that probably "won't be shelfware." Mr. Gross said the IRS is in a "marathon race" to the Y2K finish line. This is perhaps "the last opportunity to fix the tax system as we know it. " Countdown To Meltdown?
The November 3, 1997 issue of Insight, a publication of The Washington Times, focused on all the problems at the IRS. One of the stories is titled "IRS Countdown to Meltdown." The story quoted Arthur Gross telling a congressional commission that "failure to identify, recode, and retest each of these date-based fields could result in the generation of millions of erroneous tax notices, refunds, bills, interest calculations, taxpayer account adjustments, accounting transactions and financial reporting errors. Put another way, the IRS' capability to carry out its mission could be jeopardized."
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