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To: Don Green who wrote (24948)12/27/1998 11:23:00 AM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116762
 
FOCUS-Iran backs OPEC talks to rescue
oil price
07:46 a.m. Dec 27, 1998 Eastern

By Michael Georgy

DUBAI, Dec 27 (Reuters) - Iran on Sunday said it
would back any new moves to rescue the besieged oil
market but warned that some fellow OPEC
producers were using Tehran's controversial demands
to mask other problems in the fractious cartel.

Iran's OPEC Governor Hossein Kazempour Ardebili
said Tehran would support holding an emergency
meeting of the Organisation of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) to boost the oil price
currently at 12-year lows.

''Iran would back any effort that would lead to the
restoration of prices,'' he told Reuters in an interview
by telephone from Tehran.

But Ardebeli, a key adviser to Iran's oil minister, said
Iran would not back down from its demands to base
any of its own cuts from a higher baseline.

He said his country was being used as a scapegoat by
other OPEC members to cover up a bitter battle for
market share at a time of high oil supplies and eroding
demand because of the Asian financial crisis.

At OPEC's last meeting in November, heavyweight
Saudi Arabia accused Iran and Venezuela of going
back on supply cuts agreed earlier this year.

At that meeting, Iran insisted that the benchmark for
OPEC's summer agreement to cut output was unfair.
Ardebeli said on Sunday that Tehran's demand for a
higher production baseline does not ''warrant such a
big noise.''

''This is a scapegoat to dilute the attention of the
international oil community from issues including the
full return of Iraqi oil supplies to the market,'' Ardebili
added.

He said OPEC members were trying to play down
fierce competition between Saudi Arabia and
Venezuela for the lucrative U.S. market.

Though Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil
producer, has often been at odds with fellow major
exporters Iran and Venezuela, it sees hope that a new
Venezuelan government will work more closely with
the cartel to save prices.

OPEC states boosted production during the 1991
Gulf War to make up for lost production from
member Iraq after it was slapped with a United
Nations trade embargo when it invaded Kuwait. At
the time, Saudi Arabia, which had the greatest surplus
capacity, made up most of the supply gap.

''We have been reminding OPEC of the cost of Iraq's
(eventual) full return to the market. When the Iraqis
were leaving the market, certain countries benefited
the most,'' said Ardebili. ''This issue is still on the
agenda.''

Two rounds of supply curbs by oil producers inside
and outside the 11-member OPEC this year have
failed to lift the oil market from one of its deepest
depressions ever.

Iran wants OPEC to recognise 3.925 million barrels
per day (bpd) as the basis for its individual output
reduction and any future cuts instead of the 3.623
million bpd judged by the media and independent
analysts.

Ardebili said that during an emergency meeting in
March OPEC agreed to that level but that ''the rules
were changed'' only for Iran in June.

''I remember we sat up behind closed doors until
three in the morning and they agreed,'' he said. ''This
was documented.''

''We are demanded by certain (OPEC) members to
change the basis for the second (round of) cuts,
whereas others, including Venezuela, are given much
above their Jakarta quota,'' he said.

OPEC agreed in a meeting in Jakarta last year to raise
production by ten percent, a move which backfired.
Analysts say Iran still blames the Saudis for pushing
OPEC into boosting output at a time Asian demand
was collapsing.

Iran says that it was only able to capitalise on its
quota from the Jakarta meeting of 3.942 million bpd
in March, when its production reached 3.925 million
bpd.

''Others reached their quota and we had not,'' said
Ardebili.

He said Iran would only take part in any fresh cuts if
the Islamic Republic maintained its current output cut
baseline.

Ardebili made it clear that Tehran would in ''no way''
compromise on the sensitive baseline issue.

''We will not change the baseline. There is no reason
to go lower. This will not happen even if people are
pushing on Iran,'' he said.

Asked to comment on reports that an OPEC minister
was soon due to visit Iran in search of a resolution of
the output issue, Ardebili said: ''I have not heard
about this (anyone arriving). We would welcome any
minister.''

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited



To: Don Green who wrote (24948)12/27/1998 12:25:00 PM
From: Giraffe  Respond to of 116762
 
>>The Key to EVERYTHING right now is the CRB..<<

CRB has made significant price/indicator divergences. i.e. appears to have finally hit bottom.

Mind you, its done that before.

:)