To the Desktop....MARCH !!! IP to dominate in 1999 and beyond
December 28, 1998
InfoWorld Electric:
The relentless march of IP is conquering more desktops and devices every day and in 1999 will break out into an all-out assault on the communications world.
Standards near completion by the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) will simplify data-storage systems in enterprises and ease the use of the protocol over satellite links. IP will also come to television, both cable and broadcast. These technology advances will come even as IP steadily gains market acceptance for voice and video communications and for the mainframe applications that enterprises once trusted only to IBM's Systems Network Architecture.
One IT manager notes the growing ubiquity of IP.
"IP is our direction, and we're moving away from all other protocols and migrating as quickly as we can," says Virgil Palmer, director of telecommunications at Air Products and Chemicals, in Allentown, Pa.
"Over time, we're replacing everything with IP. And the year-2000 problem is helping to accelerate that: We're having to replace equipment with year-2000-compliant equipment, which is also IP-based," Palmer says. "It's the Internet standard and allows us to communicate with any of our suppliers and vendors."
With IP everywhere, observers say, network cost and complexity will plummet and more services will be available on more devices than ever before.
"Having one network protocol means that from anything, you can talk to anything," says Fred Baker, chairman of the IETF and a Cisco Fellow, in San Jose, Calif.
IP's increasing dominance has come about as the Internet has become more pervasive, and that dominance has fed on itself, observers say.
"Think of the Internet as a gigantic post office," says Michael St. John, a network architect and chairman of the IETF's IP-over-cable data network working group. "You standardize on what should be on the envelopes and what the envelopes should look like, and then any post office in the world can carry it."
One IT manager at a large packaging manufacturer says that when his company phased out a legacy WAN two years ago, there was no question about where to go from there.
"[IP is] the protocol that is dominating, when you look at the applications," says Garry Weaver, a network manager at Smurfit Stone, in Alton, Ill.
Businesses are converging on IP because having a single protocol brings significant benefits. For IT managers in those enterprises, a long protocol nightmare is over. They are waking to a new world where voice, video, and data can be combined over virtually any transport system.
"This is like taking what we've been doing for the last 30 years and hitting it with a sledgehammer," says Frank Dzubeck, president of Communications Network Architects, a consultancy in Washington. The alphabet soup of legacy protocols, notably SNA, Novell IPX, Digital's DECNet, and AppleTalk, is fast becoming a thing of the past, he says.
As all types of traffic become IP flows, a single toolset is emerging to manage and prioritize everything that runs over the LAN and WAN. Multiple queues in LAN switches, the precedence field in IP headers, and the emerging Multiprotocol Label Switching (MPLS) standard will work together, Dzubeck says.
Quality of service in IP is still in its infancy, with the critical MPLS not expected until late 1999, by Dzubeck's estimation. But progress is being made in ensuring that voice and other types of traffic can be carried appropriately over IP.
Although voice-over-IP equipment does not currently interoperate among most vendors, this is changing. Ascend, Cisco, Clarent, Dialogic, Natural MicroSystems, and Siemens earlier in December joined an initiative to support the upcoming iNow, or interoperability Now, agreement, which was developed by VocalTec, Lucent, and ITXC, and will be published in January. The purpose of iNow is to make gateways and gatekeepers that are used for IP telephony interoperable.
The array of new IP technology coming in 1999 will bring benefits all the way from enterprise data centers to WANs.
One area of enterprises in which IP has delivered significant benefits and promises future gains is in data centers. Many companies have migrated mainframe connections toward IP from legacy technologies such as SNA, and emerging standards may make it easier to connect other types of data centers.
The IP over Fibre Channel standard, expected in 1999, will let enterprises use the same Fibre Channel hardware to link servers to both storage devices and networks. Fibre Channel is a 1Gbps technology now used for SCSI connections.
One user says having one type of I/O device will simplify his company's networks.
"Instead of Ethernet and SCSI cards, I can just have Fibre Channel I/O adapters, and I'll run IP over them to talk to the network and SCSI if I want to talk to a SCSI device," says Eric Kuzmack, a senior analyst at Gannett, a media company in Silver Spring, Md.
Also under development is a specification for running IP traffic over IEEE 1394 connections. IEEE 1394, also called FireWire, is designed for connecting storage devices to desktops at speeds of 200Mbps and faster.
WAN initiatives for IP are expected to add to the rapidly expanding options available to enterprises for higher-bandwidth, lower-cost WAN services.
IP over satellite also holds promise that is expected to be unleashed soon.
"It's natural to layer IP over satellite -- the main advantage being that it's universal," says Burt Liebowitz, chief technology officer at Loral Orion, a satellite company in Rockville, Md.
"And application packages that use IP as the underlying protocol allow for more off-the-shelf solutions for IT managers -- and that should also drive costs down," Liebowitz says.
On the downside, the delay caused by the huge distance in a satellite round-trip can create problems in communication. The IETF recently completed a set of Best Current Practice recommendations for TCP/IP-over-satellite software to work around those delays. The recommendations will be implemented in a future version of Microsoft's TCP/IP stack in its operating systems, according to one IETF official.
Cable TV networks also are being looked at as an optimum technology for IP. The IETF is currently working on a standard for managing cable modems.
"The advantage of cable is ... it is ubiquitously deployed, and it has a huge pipe," says Michael Harris, president of Kinetic Strategies, a consultancy in Phoenix.
Harris says IP over cable will allow for "turnkey telecommuting solutions, allowing remote connectivity to corporate LANs, as well as PBX voice so that your business extension can ring at your house."
IP also is being carried over the vertical blanking interval (VBI) of analog TV signals. This unidirectional technology, which uses the lines that are off the TV screen, is used for encoding data and then used for sending additional information that is not part of the picture. One current use is closed captioning, but in the future, industry observers predict broader uses.
"It can be used to provide Web URLs in conjunction with a video broadcast, " the IETF's St. John says.
However, analysts note that although analog TV will be around for a while, it will also be replaced someday by digital TV, so VBI is considered as more of an intermediate system.
Aside from the growing pains expected with new IP technologies, the emergence of a single network protocol also poses other concerns to enterprise IT departments.
"The breadth of your network will extend to devices that didn't used to be IP devices," says Dave Passmore, president of NetReference, a consultancy in Sterling, Va. "You have to be able to scale your network to handle huge growth." Converting all the phones in an enterprise to IP telephony could easily double the number of IP clients, he points out.
Passmore also advises companies not to sign any long-term contracts with service providers, because service options will change rapidly.
The advent of the new world of networking also will demand some education, others say.
"IT managers need to make sure any device they get is IP-capable, identify which aren't, and figure out how to replace or upgrade them," St. John said. "They also need to get smart about IP and understand how to get the right set of talent to build the internal network." |