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To: KeepItSimple who wrote (31314)12/27/1998 3:24:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
NO. Listen people, and listen good. EVERYONE VERY QUICKLY GOT A PHONE
LINE. The "newness" never played any role in whether or not a company thrived or
failed, because EVERYONE HAD THE TECHNOLOGY. Competition continued to be
based on merit and profits, not who had the phone line first.


KIS,

But it is different this time<VBG>

Glenn



To: KeepItSimple who wrote (31314)12/27/1998 6:08:00 PM
From: Rob S.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
Thanks for driving this fact home.

Back last spring several analysts were touting that Amazon had a great "internet technology" advantage and that it would take competitors years to catch up. To people who were working in the field, that seemed pretty naive. Just nine months latter, Amazon's major competitors have every feature incorporated in their sites that Amazon supposedly had some advantage in. People, not even the rabid anals, don't talk much anymore about Amazon's "internet technology" advantage - just about the early adopter and sales momentum advantage. And even the technophiles at the Amazing one have scrapped their internal efforts to develop customer analysis and product push software and instead have purchased commercial software from an outside company. The same stuff that any company with enough bucks can implement within 2-3 months. Cheap versions are available for small to mid-sized sites.

Your connection with the use of other technologies, such as the phone, is very appropriate. At first a few adopters took advantage of it but soon every business in America was wired. And businesses quickly adjusted their sales and customer service methods to take advantage of the new-fangled telephone technology. Pretty soon it became a "must have" apparatus and not a primary reason for success or failure. In relatively a short time, all major retailers will sell products on the Internet.

There is absolutely no reason to believe that Amazon or any other Internet retailer will enjoy unusually high margins and profits. Amazon's stock price is now only justified by future sales, margins and profits that have not been able to be achieved by any retail establishment in the history of the planet. Major studies and current experience have shown that the Internet will fuel tremendous competition that will reduce margins and profits to LOWER LEVELS that
the typically low levels of other mass retailers.

Amazon is seeing the glory period of enormous growth in sales and losses. They will not see the enormous growth in margins and profits that many investors expect, IMO.



To: KeepItSimple who wrote (31314)12/27/1998 9:17:00 PM
From: Mark Fowler  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
Glenn, I wonder how long until a similar "tombstone" article can be written
about the internut stocks?<<

"Spider wove the web that brought humans the first picture of the alphabet. The
letters were part of the angles of her web.

Deer asked Spider what she was weaving and why all the lines looked like symbols.
Spider replied, "Why Deer, it is time for Earth's children to learn to make records of
their progress in their Earth Walk." Deer answered Spider, "But they already have
pictures that show through symbols the stories of their experiences." "Yes" Spider
said, "But Earth's children are growing more complex, and their future generations
will need to know more. The ones to come won't remember how to read the
petroglyphs."

So it was that Spider wove the first primordial alphabet, as she had woven the
dream of the world that had become manifest. Spider's dream of the physical world
had come to fruition millions of years before.

Spider's body is made like the number eight, consisting of two lobe-like parts
connected at the waist, and eight legs. Spider is the symbol for the infinite
possibilities of creation. Her eight legs represent the four winds of change and the
four directions on the medicine wheel.

Spider weaves the webs of fate for those who get caught in her web and become
her dinner. This is similar to humans who get caught in the web of illusion in the
physical world, and never see beyond the horizon into other dimensions.

The web of fate also represents a wheel of life, which does not include any
alternatives or solutions. It is typically human to get caught in the polarity of good
or bad fortune without realising that we can change it at any time. If we are not
decisive enough about changing lots in our life, we may end up being consumed by
our fears and limitations.

Spider is the female energy of the creative force that weaves the beautiful designs
of life. Her web has hundreds of intricate patterns which catch the morning dew.

If Spider has dropped from her web into your cards today, she may be telling you to
create, create, create! Look for new alternatives to your present impasse. She can
also be warning you that you are coming too close to an entangling situation.
Spider could be asking you to use a journal to write out and review your progress. If
you do this, you will not forget how you are creating a new or different phase in
your life.

Spider brings a message of a different kind when she sees you becoming a bit too
involved in the weaving of your life plans to notice opportunity at the outskirts of
your web. If this is the case, Spider gets your attention so that you notice that
something you have woven has borne fruit. Congratulations! Spider caught you
just in time, before you missed the opportunity on the edge of your web or reality.

The most important message from Spider is that you are an infinite being who will
continue to weave the patterns of life and living throughout time. Do not fail to see
the expansiveness of the eternal plan." ;-))