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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jess Beltz who wrote (41159)12/28/1998 2:47:00 PM
From: John Dally  Respond to of 132070
 
Hi Jess,

I view low energy prices as a symptom of a slowing global economy. To me, energy prices may be signaling an imminent global recession, resulting in declining profit margins and lower US equity prices.

With global overcapacity in many industries, the price wars would be intensified in a contracting global economy.

What happens to all the money sloshing around? Perhaps a rush into bonds, resulting in lower interest rates.

I wish I knew.

Best regards, John.



To: Jess Beltz who wrote (41159)12/28/1998 3:05:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Jess, I'll bet you a quarter that energy prices are at least 30% higher this time next year than they are today. MB



To: Jess Beltz who wrote (41159)12/28/1998 6:07:00 PM
From: Mike M2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Jess, IMO AG's three rate cuts in rapid succession were done to bail out the banks and hedge funds from their derivatives problem especially the cut between meetings JUST BEFORE OPTIONS EXPIRATION. for more details see gold-eagle.com Mike



To: Jess Beltz who wrote (41159)12/28/1998 10:33:00 PM
From: Shane M  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 132070
 
Jess,

I remember reading a WSJ article a while back describing a board of governors meeting, and how Greenspan tends to discount the accuracy of the govt numbers on productivity, GDP, inflation,etc, and relies as much on his own homebrew variety of stats for decision making (something like classified ad space, or freighcar utilization).

Shane