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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BomboochaBoy who wrote (16)12/28/1998 6:51:00 PM
From: Modano  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 41369
 
Here are my guesses:
01/01/99 182
01/01/Y2K 409

How did we do in after hours trading this afternoon?

Modano : )
Please post the results of your survey over here on this thread if you don't mind. That is a fun idea.



To: BomboochaBoy who wrote (16)12/28/1998 9:29:00 PM
From: tang  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41369
 
Heard from CNBC this morning: A fund manager said all S&P index fund
managers (some rules) cannot buy AOL until 12/31/98 to start matching
up the S&P 500 index.

This means (1) the buyings since 12/21/98 are from non-S&P 500 funds
(2) sellings are from the S&P mid-cap to out the AOL from their matching index (3) buyings are also from the individuals

This also means starting Thursday (12/31) heavy buyings from the index funds will push the shares to a higher ground, I would not rule out
$180-$190 on 1/5/99 because AMZN splits on that day (1-3), all major
internet stocks (AOL/YHOO/EBAY) should go higher.

If santa-claus rally continues into and becoming January effect, AOL
should gain $10-$20 points easily, a good earning news in late January
should push share price to $250.

I think the market is trying to put AOL in the same level as YHOO, AMZN, EBAY (share price wise), until then, AOL will keep on trucking.

P/E should not be a problem, why? Internet is a new industry, it takes years for the market to accept an average P/E for a particular
industry, such as financial industry, their p/e should be within 10 to
be reasonable, software should be 40 to 60, hardware should be
40-50, but they all take years to become perception figures.

Internet sells 'AIR', what is the P/E for AIR? it will take years
for the market to figure out, before that happens, we must enjoy the
market leaders, forget about the P/E for the time being.

YHOO, AMZN, EBAY,... what earning? There are no earnings!

At least AOL has some earning.

My prediction for 1/31/99 AOL should be $250, and a 3 for 1 split to
make the price acceptable to the popular individuals $80-$90/share and
this should happen in May or June...

My 2 cents...