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Technology Stocks : PairGain Technologies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Philip W. Dunton, Jr who wrote (27787)12/30/1998 11:45:00 AM
From: margin_man  Respond to of 36349
 
From yesterday and today, I noticed several big blocks were traded at
or above the ask. So it's time to get back in, IMO.
Go with the big boys.

Good luck,
P.



To: Philip W. Dunton, Jr who wrote (27787)1/1/1999 4:10:00 PM
From: william blair  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36349
 
The risk in this stock is proportional to how quickly the telephone companies respond to high speed digital service for their residential customers. Pair is a high quality certified provider with great engineering. As another poster said they have cash on hand. Their latest earnings problems were caused by loss of contract for HDSL at Bell Atlantic. This loss to Adtran also caused Adtran problems in their earnings outlook as they apparently priced their product too low. When ADSL is offered at a competitive rate with cable modems, all the suppliers will benefit. The recent decision by compuuter manufacturers to package high speed modems using ADSL technology will hasten ADSL development. When this happens, look for Pair, WSTL, and others to benefit as AWRE has done lately.



To: Philip W. Dunton, Jr who wrote (27787)1/4/1999 1:51:00 AM
From: Rainmaker  Respond to of 36349
 
Phil. You asked for information regarding PAIR. Specifically, should you invest in this company. I've included several items below that you should consider in your decision-making process. This is a very broad overview. Target questions for each (or others) can be expanded upon as needed.

The Good
1) over 1,000,000 HDSL units deployed (over 60% marketshare)
2) international market growing at 40% per year (The Competition doesn't even have oversees exposure)
3) STRONG RBOC relationships (also with ILECs, CLECs, PXNs, and ISPs)
4) $250M in the bank (around $3 - $4/share inherent value)
5) extremely low P/E compared to 26 yardstick used for SP500 stocks
6) superior engineering (products are far the best in the market)
7) new CEO - Pascoe formerly of Newbridge Networks
8) Falcon chip and Avidia
9) perennial takeover candidate (take your pick - LU, TLAB, INTC....)
10) undergoing internal repositioning, transforming itself into a total solutions company

The Bad
1) heavy reliance on now commodity item (although they are making a concerted effort to shift dramatically)
2) limited international presence (need to take shotgun approach to saturate foreign market while in it's infancy)
3) recent loss of primary supplier status at Bell Atlantic (translates to roughly $0.05 decrease in earnings revenue per quarter).
4) cash rich (better use for all that money?)
5) share price (and P/E) drop due to flat earnings in 1998
6) some customers don't care about superior performance - price is the driving force
7) poor PR (fails to champion the many PAIR success; can't seem to leverage this to it's advantage)
8) counting on Avidia (and Falcon) to revive earnings, margins, and topline growth
9) company wants lots of money for a sale (around $30/share)
10) internal transformation will take a bit of time

Hope this helps. Good luck.