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Technology Stocks : p-com (pcms) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Springer who wrote (875)12/29/1998 9:10:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1461
 
Hi Springer:

You found the key part. If I understand correctly,
the convertibles are essentially floorless, since
the conversion depends on the stock price of
PCMS for 15 days before May 15, 1999. So, if
a convert holder can drive down the stock price
during this period, it will own a huge chunk
of the company. A floor would have required
a lower bound on the conversion price. I cannot
believe that PCMS management sold its shareholders
down the river in such a shameless way.

To confirm, I will ask Zeev Hed, the foremost expert
on floorless convertibles on SI, to have a look.
But as far as I can decipher the language, the
worst has come true for PCMS holders.

Best regards,

Bernard Levy



To: Springer who wrote (875)12/30/1998 10:56:00 AM
From: Rob Preuss  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1461
 
Hi All,

I just canceled my good-til-canceled limit order
to buy PCMS for two specific reasons:

1) All these press releases. Normally, I'd be happy
to see them crowing about their sales but I have
to view press releases about these teensy-weensy
orders suspiciously... until recently it has not
been PCMS practice to announce every little sale
to the press, nor to issue press releases almost
daily. My gut says that something's not kosher.

2) This floorless convertible stuff. I can't say I
fully understand the convoluted language on the
conversion pricing [why do they say: "...at the
lower of (i) 200% or (ii) 101% of..."? Isn't it
true that 101% is ALWAYS lower than 200%?]. But
there appear to be some powerful forces present
who have strong incentives to create pressures
(upward or downward) on the stock price; until
I'm certain that I understand all this, I will
feel better sitting on the sidelines.

More generally, I've got little trust in PCMS current
management. I've been long on their competitor, DMIC,
several times over the years largely because I trust
their management. DMIC has stayed away from the P-MP
market (so far) and concentrated on developing their
core product line with high/low capacities, long/short
ranges, and a multitude of frequencies; now, when a
salesperson calls on a customer, s/he can offer a full
line of products and the customer can deal with fewer
vendors. PCMS seems to have made a big bet on P-MP;
while this has promise in some markets, its not needed
everywhere... I think DMIC has been wise to stay out
of P-MP until the market for these products matures.

The best hope for PCMS shareholders may be for a buyout
by DMIC or by one of their bigger brethren (like Siemens).
Perhaps this "bandit" who bought the Convertible Preferred
Stock is simply planning to gain controlling interest in
order to force such a sale (or to send management packing).

It worries me that PCMS management isn't buying their
own stock at these seemingly low prices.

Rob