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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Burry who wrote (5603)12/30/1998 2:30:00 AM
From: Marchkis  Respond to of 78751
 
I agree with you that investing in Japan is a worthwhile contrarian play. I bought the WEBS for Japan (EWJ) on the ASE. It is the Morgan Stanley index that trades like a stock. Also, the WEBS can be shorted without having to have a preceding uptick. EWJ is trading around 10 and that seems to be at the bottom since more bad news such as recently announced rising unemployment did not depress the index any further. The government is launching a $500 billion economic stimulus package in the coming year. The bankrupt banks are slowly starting to be closed. I'm not sure when Japanese stocks will rise but they surely will and EWJ seems to be a good place to be without having to guess which individual stocks to buy.

Machki



To: Michael Burry who wrote (5603)12/30/1998 3:14:00 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Respond to of 78751
 
Michael,

I hold some TAVFX - Marty Whitman's fund. He still
has money in Japanese insurance companies, but has been
totally burned with the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan.
(Yet another indication that words "long-term" in the
company name mean "disaster" ;-)). The bank decided to
"forgive" a couple billions worth of loans and consequently
got into bankruptcy. Marty was outraged with the
Japanese management. Details in the 3rd quarter
shareholders letter at:

mjwhitman.com

Read it before investing and even after that buy only
westernized blue chips or mutual funds. WEBS maybe OK.
Everything else is extremely unhealthy. ;-)

Good luck

Jurgis



To: Michael Burry who wrote (5603)12/30/1998 3:35:00 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Respond to of 78751
 
Michael and other potential bears, :-)

Marty Whitman also has just published an argument
on overvaluation of S&P500 and about advantages of value
investing:

mjwhitman.com

Have fun

Jurgis



To: Michael Burry who wrote (5603)12/30/1998 8:19:00 PM
From: Shane M  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78751
 
Mike,

Here's a search on Japan.

quicken.excite.com

It looks there are some CEFs on there that you might be able to get at a sizeable discount to NAV.