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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (3724)	1/1/1999 9:42:00 PM
From: E. Davies	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 29970

Please give this some thought, and come back with a migration plan to your ten-year scenario I really know so little, but I'll put forth my foolish guesses in the hopes of stimulating someone who really knows the technology to come forth and set me straight. First ATHM will be eternally in a race to upgrade the entire infrastructure to handle the explosion of bandwidth demands. Sometimes they will fail, its a guarantee. But I'm most curious about how the local user network will develop. I see that for the next 3-5 years the focus will be excusively on finding ways to maintain the current level of performance to the user despite the explosion in the number of users and the amount of time they spend online. It is a shared network after all! As I understand it, the network can be broken into smaller physical subnets and I assume eventually into frequency based subnets as well. A coax cable has the bandwidth to handle 100x (maybe even 1000x) the current breed of cable modems, but unfortunately theres all that nasty TV stuff using most of it up. People with their 5GhZ home computers will someday (~3-5years) be completely fed up with their measly 10Meg (World Wide Wait redux) connection and demand more. Today home networks are migrating to 100Mb from 10Mb. I assume that eventually modems will be able to spread the network digitally over multiple frequency channels in such a manner as to maintain backward compatablity with current modems and the cable cos. will see the value in assigning more of the cable for internet service or possibly digitally encoding the TV to use the bandwidth more efficiently and giving the "modem" or a "set top box" the job of translating back to those old style analog TV's. I think in about 10 years even the 500Mb network you could get that will seem completely absurdly slow "My video stream is jerky when I have more than one at a time and my 10gb file transfers take too long" and the time will be ripe for switching to fiber directly to the home with a whole new class of "optical modems". Opinions? Eric Oh and by the way all these and many more features will be "premium" services= more income for ATHM.