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Technology Stocks : Apple Computer (AAPL): Analysis and Forecasting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: WebDrone who wrote (455)1/2/1999 11:40:00 PM
From: High Grader  Respond to of 692
 
Max pain is pretty good but not always accurate. Even the option writers get burned sometimes, otherwise that would be all that anyone would have to do.

You still have nails?



To: WebDrone who wrote (455)1/3/1999 2:12:00 AM
From: J R KARY  Respond to of 692
 
Web , may the AAPL "force" will be with you this January

Notwithstanding Senor jobs will establish 1999 as AAPL's entry into the Enterprise Market (OS X the multi-platform Server) with the average revenue per box doubling , but it looks like some large "friendly" holders set a "bear trap" at $43 .

A iMAC pre-intro run up started about 2 weeks earlier (8/4/98) but not until big short positions were repeatedly established (8/21 - 24/98) at the high ($43 - $43 3/4).

Smaller shorts followed the trap (at less than $43) , but the big uns covered during the $28 - $32 "mired in the DOJ" period , which was marked by "undisputed" rumors of iMACs backing up on AAPL's loading docks .

The remaining shorts planned on covering during December tax selling , but PC DATA released "successful" sales for the iMAC , and we moved quickly back to $40 "closing the trap" .

The coming 1/4/99 MacWorld SF appears to be a developer "support" fest and should trigger a covering panic among "nervous" shorts this week .

It's a just reward for AAPL's longs . AAPL's stock becomes newsworthy justifying longer term capital , plus attracting new "Enterprise" management to AAPL ($32/shr options) and motivating AAPL's current employees (options) at $16.50/shr .

IBM had similar (planned) swings during its recovery .

Rich (and all) , Happy New year netos.com
, and for you Rich may MRVC become a "distant" memory !

Jim K.



To: WebDrone who wrote (455)1/4/1999 12:51:00 AM
From: Golden Bear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 692
 
Webdrone, I have the same fears: there is that familar echo ringing in my ears, "pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered." So I traded in my January Calls for April options. I lost a lot of leverage, but I feel a lot better when I go to bed each night.
Marc D.