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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (36031)1/4/1999 7:59:00 PM
From: blue_lotus  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill et all,

I have been a passive reader for quite a while and wanted to thank all of you for your contributions.

I too believe that we are going to have a massive rally this month and may be the next too.

This has little to do with fundamentals, and is more related to money flows.

Jan., Feb. and to some extent March see the biggest money inflows to Mutual Funds and 401k plans. The Administrators are going to have to put that money to work.

1) Many people will put money at this time into there IRAs for tax benefits.

2) Many people who earn a lot and hit their 401k contribution caps end up contributing more in the first part of the year.

3) Most companies match employee 401k contributions. These matches are more during the 1st few months. (For example company A matches 100% of first $1000 invested and then 15% of the rest....well the first $1000 and its corresponding match will be invested in the first few months.)

-Raj



To: William H Huebl who wrote (36031)1/4/1999 8:36:00 PM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
I am expecting a rally in SPX at least.