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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maxwell who wrote (44873)1/5/1999 1:12:00 PM
From: Jim McMannis  Respond to of 1570751
 
$835
.28
5.38m
$99



To: Maxwell who wrote (44873)1/5/1999 2:01:00 PM
From: Petz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1570751
 
Here's my AMD estimate for 4Q'98. Would have done it over the
holidays but some of my info was at work.

REVENUES
5.2M K6's @ $92 = 478.4M CPG revenue
Other revenue = 307.6M (+2.6M vs. 3Q)
Total Revenue = 786,000,000

EXPENSES
Breakeven from 3Q'98: 685M
Increased direct costs: 25M
Increased R&D: 20M
Increased indirect costs: 5M
New breakeven: 735,000,000

PROFIT: 51M - taxes 16M = 35,000,000 = 0.23/share

BTW, I used twice-monthly quotes from thechipmerchant.com, derated by 25%, along with guesstimates of "bin-split" to get my rather low ASP. I'll adjust the 25% number up or down (for next time) based on the actual ASP and any info on bin split in the CC.

Petz