To: Neil Irwin who wrote (1924 ) 1/8/1999 9:36:00 AM From: kingfisher Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2346
From The Street.com Positive Article on Silver Bearly bullish -- the silver lining: Every time Bill Fleckenstein of Fleckenstein Capital is mentioned here, it has to do with a bearish call on PC makers. Does he like anything? Yes, but even when he's bullish, he's contrary. The one company whose stock he currently owns personally and in his hedge fund, and on whose board he sits, is Vancouver-based Pan America Silver (PAASF:Nasdaq). Fleckenstein considers it one of two silver pure plays; the other, Apex Silver Mines (SIL:AMEX), counts George Soros as a lead investor. Why silver, and why this company? As for silver, Fleckenstein points out that Warren Buffett talked at length during last year's Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting about why he bought silver. A key point, to which Fleckenstein subscribes, is a growing demand/supply imbalance: Inventories of silver bars in warehouses are being whittled down but silver mine production is not growing. As inventories continue to shrink, silver prices should start rising, which should help companies like Pan American. Fleckenstein says the company has the potential (if all its mines and reserves were in production) of being the world's second-largest silver producer. Silver, he points out, was joined only by palladium in not collapsing along with other commodities in last year's fourth quarter. "At some point, things start to gather investment demand," he says. "And if you believe silver could one day have a multidollar rally," that could ultimately generate a fast ramp in earnings. With the stock closing yesterday at 5 3/4, that's a bet he doesn't believe he can afford not to make.