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To: Olu Emuleomo who wrote (33217)	1/7/1999 1:44:00 PM
From: Rob S.	Respond to of 164684

There are a flurry of conferences on business-to-business e-commerce scheduled for early this year. Here is one: opengroup.org The guest speaker suggests that e-commerce will grow to $1 trillion in just a few years. That tops out estimates by leading forecasting authorities but fits the trend of upward revisions. Advocates and speakers have some stake in dramatizing (exagerating?) the trends they are involved in and many events in the computer world proved to be far less dramatic than were initially imagined. Still, I believe that these forecasts have enough basis in reality to be reasonably certain. The economic and communications advantages to corporations is just too great for it not to become widespread. Two thirds to 80% of this is expected to be biz-to-biz commerce. Several technologies are quickly coming together to propel the trend to merge traditional EDI with the web and no real show stoppers remain in the way. Some things, like XTML and web security must still be worked out more fully and standards must be agreed upon or evolved, but the tidal wave is almost ready to change the way a major portion of commerce is conducted in the US and then in the rest of the world.