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To: IceShark who wrote (33844)1/9/1999 7:50:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
The Internet Capitalist
SG Cowen Internet Research
12
participants had already logged on to Disney's
Fiesta Bowl Web site and that those who
couldn't get online should try sometime during
the second half. The capacity problems created
ancillary issues, even for those folks who
actually were able to log onto the site: game
stats were delayed advertising messages were
slow to download during commercial breaks
(will Disney be giving these advertisers make
goods?) Again, we're not making any of this
up.
Interestingly enough, the purpose of the
“enhanced TV” Web tie-in was to keep viewers
from abandoning the TV for the Internet
during these kind of big sporting events for
which Disney has paid millions for the rights.
Disney's hope is that they can stop the Internet
from being a threat by embracing it and
making it part of the television experience. Of
course, in order to de-fang the Internet as a
threat to TV, one must actually get people
online, and we have no doubts that Disney and
their Infoseek brethren will be working hard to
do just that over the coming months
But from where we sit, we still can't help
wondering if all this hoped-for media synergy
(between Disney, ESPN, ABC, Infoseek/Go and
their .com cousins) isn't just some powerpoint
strategy that Disney can't effectively execute on
due to their relative unfamiliarity with this
(interactive) medium. We'll just have to wait
and see, we suppose, though Disney's Red
Queen approach of denying the obvious seems
slightly anachronistic: "We don't see [the rise
in Internet viewership] as a problem," said
Kevin Mayer, Disney's senior VP of strategic
planning.
Will The Real Broadband Portal Please Stand
Up?
We met the news, out this week, that Comcast
is introducing a broadband portal site, at
onbroadband.com, with a healthy level of
curiosity. The new site is aimed at some 1
million ISDN, xDSL, leased line,
wireless/satellite, cable modem, and high-speed
data-over-cable (@Home) subscribers
and will carry bandwidth-intensive content
and advertising messages.
Remembering that @Home just announced last
week a bandwidth intensive advertising
strategy with their acquisition of Narrative
Communications (see the last edition of The
Internet Capitalist), we remain a bit puzzled
about the relationship between the two
entities. After all, since Comcast owns a nice
chunk of @Home, and @Home is being
thought of (and valued as) a broadband
“portal” sort of like AOL is thought of (and
valued as) a narrowband “portal”, we thought
to ourselves, whose going to “own” the
consumer, @Home or Comcast? Who is going
to become the best broadband partner to
advertise with, Comcast or @Home? What
does this suggest about their partnership?
Publicly, @Home suggests that the market is
immature enough to support two providers of
broadband content and that anything that
builds broadband is good for @Home, but for
our part, we are a bit less sanguine; at these
valuation levels (for @Home anyhow),
investors need to be thinking about @Home's
potential a few years out; anything that hints
of conflict (implied or real) with their cable
partners could upset that balance.
A perhaps more interesting corollary thought
here, however, is that Comcast is attempting to
do what Broadcast.com (BCST) has done for
the narrowband world; provide audio and
video content for consumers and thus become
the rich media portal, a term that is practically
synonymous with broadband portal. Time will
tell if Comcast will be successful, but for our
part, we never underestimate how difficult it is
to build a loyal consumer base; Broadcast.com
has it and (right now) Comcast doesn't.