SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: StockOperator who wrote (3575)1/9/1999 3:06:00 PM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
As long as you know you're gambling... -g-
Personally, the risks are way too high for me to be in the market in any significant way. I still trade some though.

For an idea of the current risk involved, take a look at this chart:
decisionpoint.com

Compare it to past data from the current secular bull market 82-99.
A higher market from here is only making it riskier.

Regards,
TW



To: StockOperator who wrote (3575)1/9/1999 11:20:00 PM
From: j g cordes  Respond to of 99985
 
The market has been narrow, which promotes the argument it will eventually broaden to include smaller and value play stocks. This may not happen at all, momentum may be the only game until proven wrong.

Another consideration is there may not be enough money flowing into the system to allow a broadening of participation. If record cash inflows have gotten the market to this pattern of highs, it would require a full 50% to 100% increase in cash inflows to raise the tide for all boats. This can't happen, even with loose money supply. Therefore it will remain a focused market, with sectors rotating volatility but no general broadening of participation.

Jim