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To: goldsnow who wrote (25749)1/10/1999 5:50:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 117274
 
And trade tensions are also increasing between the US
and Japan, notably over steel imports. "Friction is
unavoidable, but the issue is how to deal with it,"
commented Osamu Watanabe, vice-minister at the
Ministry of International Trade and Industry.

The decline of the dollar, if it continues, could
exacerbate trade tensions with Europe and Japan,
weaken the worldwide economic recovery, and
precipitate a capital flight from the US. It could be one of
the most significant economic events of 1999.


Could this cause a capital flight from the US?? Possible.

However, one thing I percieve assisting the US is that the dollar can be permitted to fall gradually, which boosts our ability to export and lessen the trade deficit incrementally.

However, this doesn't help out Asia and Latin America, both of which rely on exports to the US and Europe to sustain their economies. Also, Europe will face increasing price competitiveness for US goods in their economic zone and hopefully a lessening of Europe's surplus with the US.

So while the decline of the US dollar may reveal negative aspects for some, it also represents an opportunity to take advantage of the Euro. Being the global reserve currency may have its prestigious advantages, but it certainly hamstrings economic policy when every action you take has ripple impacts throughout the world.

I don't know, but I think we'll be seeing a resurgence of US economic growth, especially if Y2K proves to be a non-event (knock on wood).

Regards,

Ron