To: David Harker who wrote (4061 ) 1/10/1999 3:00:00 AM From: FR1 Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29970
- if lasts a long time, that makes me semi-stupid, and it may not get back down to $90...Thoughts/opinions on price action and what to do about it? I know, I should have just held... :-) Just two thoughts: 1) As some wags have been commenting: this is not your father's stock market . In other words, we are not dealing with a stable and highly predictable market. In a very stable market you can usually bet that a spike in share price will be followed by a sell off. In our case, however, we are having a gold rush to the Internet and nobody can intelligently explain exactly how much things are worth. People are investing in the best horses in the race AMZN, YHOO, ATHM, AOL, etc. The sell offs, if and when they come, may be mild and not dramatic drops that cut the stock price in half. 2) If you believe in ATHM and are worried about protecting your gains and at the same time staying in the market to enjoy ATHMs rise, why not just buy some out of the money puts? Let's say you have 100 shares of @home. ATHM closed at 108.75 so it's worth $10,875. You can buy Feb 99 puts @95 for $8.125. That means that for $812.50 you will be guaranteed that between now and the 3rd week of Feb your stock will not drop more than $13.75/share ($108.75 - $95). This means that the absolute worst that can possible happen to you is that the value of your stock drops to $10,875 - ($1,375 + $812.50) = $8,687.50. You are basically saying that you will give up the next 8 points that ATHM goes up in order to be absolutely guaranteed your 100 shares does not lose more than $2,187. With 30 trading days ahead of us and a volatile stock like ATHM, it might be worth it. At least you can sleep at night.