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To: ahhaha who wrote (4069)1/10/1999 4:44:00 PM
From: andrew wu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29970
 
|> T is mistaken if they think their future lies in VoIP. There is no future in it. I
|> should say there is no profitable future in it.

I'm not sure I could agree w/ you on this. For e.g. quite a few
wireless services providers offer consumers hundreds of free
off-peak minutes a month to attract subscribers. I guess
they do so 'cause those subscribers would add a new avenue of
revenue stream. If they could not sign on those subscribers
the utilization of their network would be very low for 2/7 days
a week, hence wasting their own capital investment. Voice accessed
via cable, as well as VoIP, should at least make similar
business sense.

|> It will be just a must carry stipulation
|> by the FCC. Maybe Armstrong doesn't realize this yet, but T wants to merge with
|> TCI in order to have the lead in providing broadband services. Broadband
|> services include VoIP as an incidental. At best a presence in VoIP helps to get a
|> lead in influencing people to go ATT for the full spread. So T is not staking its
|> future on VoIP. It's doing this to make the merger palatable to the FCC. It's all a
ploy.

T desperately need the access to homes. Once they have the access,
through the merge w/ TCI, they no longer need to pay RBOC's costly
fee's to offer long distance services. That would significantly
IMPROVE their 'competivness(spelling?)' in the voice business. W/out it
they could not afford much lower prices in the competition, meaning
losing market shares. And once they manage to offer voice
access via cable, ideally VoIP across their optical backbone,
voice services from T is more like offering free weekend minutes in
many wireless services.

-andrew



To: ahhaha who wrote (4069)1/10/1999 9:19:00 PM
From: Moose  Respond to of 29970
 
VoIP, VoIP, blah, blah, blah. Interesting idea, but who cares? Talking on a 'phone' will be dirt cheap in a few years due to all the available options (POT, ADSL, Cable, Wireless...). Invest in emerging and dominant technologies: ISPs. Cable ISPs to be more clear. ATHM to be succinct. If you want to invest in other good companies, then pick big cable co's. They get something like 50% of ATHM's service charge - this is new money to them. Growth, growth, growth!

You don't really want to invest in T, do you? Great co, but think growth...

-Moose