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Gold/Mining/Energy : Magellan Aerospace Corp (MAL) New Listing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Anthony Wong who wrote (465)1/10/1999 7:40:00 AM
From: Anthony Wong  Respond to of 633
 
Small caps will eventually pay off
Flight from volatility
Tuesday, December 29, 1998

Tony Johnson
Calgary Herald

Volatility in the markets is sending investors clamouring for the
largest capitalized stocks in North America.

This is particularly the case in the United States where the Dow
Jones industrial average went on a roller-coaster ride over the past
three months, falling more than 2000 points in late summer to the low
7000s and then rocketing back. The big stocks were the life of the
party, but investors all but closed the door to their smaller and
mid-sized counterparts.

Hence, valuations of the Dow Jones 30 stocks are historically high
and the Russell 2000, which represents smaller issues, still remains
off its record highs. Contrarians buying on this weakness will
eventually be well rewarded with big gains when momentum comes
back to the small caps and mid caps.

- ATS Automation Tooling Systems Inc. This leading technology
company has two complementary businesses: one that builds robotic
assembly lines and the other that manufactures precision parts for
industry. ATS has an impressive list of international customers in a
variety of industries. Over the past six months, it grew revenue in all
geographic regions, but fastest in the Pacific Rim despite the
economic turmoil there.

In the long term, there is potential for an earnings boost from
Photowatt, a French solar cells and modules operation, from the car
heating battery, and from EcoSnow, a precision cleaning technology.

Earnings per share for the year ending March 31,1999, are forecast
at 72¢ . At 22.9 times current fiscal year estimates and at 17 times
fiscal March 31, 2000, estimates, ATS shares look attractive. The
stock (ATA/TSE) closed recently at $19.25.

- Magellan Aerospace Corp. Magellan Aerospace is Canada's largest
publicly traded aircraft parts manufacturer. Its 12 operating facilities
are engaged in the manufacture and precision machining of
components and structures for the aerospace industry, the provision
of aircraft repair and overhaul services.

Magellan's production rates, new aircraft introductions, and aircraft
utilization are all increasing. It is looking to gain market share, expand
its customer base, and increase the scope of its manufacturing and
maintenance capabilities and expertise.

After nearly doubling its revenue in each of the past two years,
Magellan's revenue and earnings are forecast to compound annually
by 34% and 44% respectively over the next three years.


The company represents one of the primary consolidators in the
aircraft parts sector. Magellan (MAL/TSE) closed recently at $8.15.

- Stackpole Ltd. Stackpole is an integrated manufacturer of drivetrain
components and assemblies, primarily for automotive engines and
transmissions. The business is based on technological advances in the
powder metal area, which enable it to provide a lower cost alternative
to many conventional machined steel components. This advantage,
and the company's engineering capabilities, has attracted increasing
recognition from major automotive customers.

The company has enjoyed strong growth until its most recent quarter.
It reported a loss of 23¢ a share for the third quarter of 1998
compared to earnings of 25¢ a share a year ago.

The loss resulted from the General Motors strike followed by the
stress of trying to exceed normal production capacity to keep up with
General Motors' efforts to rebuild inventories. Directly and indirectly,
GM represents about 60% of Stackpole's sales. New business in
1999 is expected to contribute to 20% revenue growth next year.
Stackpole (SKD/TSE) closed recently at $13.10.

Tony Johnson is a financial consultant with Wood Gundy Private
Client Investments.

nationalpost.com