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To: Kevin K. Spurway who wrote (45483)1/11/1999 4:58:00 PM
From: Maxwell  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 1572515
 
AMD Q4 EPS Competition (Update and Final Call):

Here is the update. I haven't been reading all the SI messages
lately due to too many garbage posts. If your number is not on the
list and would like to enter please mail me at maxwell_jr@hotmail.com.
Nice EPS revision from Asshok Kumar today.

Name Entry Date Q4 Rev. EPS Old Est. K6/K6-2 ASP
(M) ($) ($) (M) ($)

Yousef 12/28/98 $780 $0.02 4.7 98
Needham & Co.***11/3/98 $772 $0.06 4.5 97
Banc Boston*** 11/13/98 $780 $0.12 4.8 101
Volpe Brown*** 11/13/98 $780 $0.13 $0.02 4.8 100
Paine Webber*** 11/13/98 $815 $0.13 $0.10 4.7 100
Tom Kurlacks*** 11/6/98 $780 $0.17 4.6 106
Tenchusatsu 1/5/99 $775 $0.17 5 95
DLJ *** 12/18/98 ????? $0.18 ???? 100
GKM & Co.*** 12/21/98 ????? $0.18 $0.06 4.8 100
Alex Brown*** 11/3/98 $788 $0.19 $0.15 5 96
Soundview*** 11/13/98 ??? $0.19 ??? ???
CREDIT SUISSE***11/13/98 $785 $0.20 5 101
Goldman Sach*** 11/13/98 $790 $0.20 $0.13 4.7 100
Sutro & Co.*** 11/13/98 $800 $0.20 $0.20 5 100
Bernstein*** 1/4/99 ?????? $0.20 5 ?????
Ashok Kumar*** 11/10/98 $805 $0.21 $0.13 4.7 100
Jean Gauthier 11/3/98 $800 $0.21 4.9 105
David Langston 11/14/98 $824 $0.21 5.2 98
Mynga 11/14/98 $805 $0.22 5.05 98
RDM 11/6/98 $805 $0.23 4.9 104
ABN AMRO*** 11/13/98 ??? $0.23 ??? ???
John Petzinger 1/5/99 $786 $0.23 5.2 92
Profits 11/14/98 $826 $0.27 5.2 107
Cheng Ge 1/5/99 $820 $0.27 5.2 100
Jim McMannis 1/5/99 $835 $0.28 5.38 99
Yougang Xiao 11/4/98 $800 $0.30 $0.24 5.3 94
Prudential*** 11/10/98 $840 $0.30 $0.14 5.4 100
Joel & Cindy F. 11/14/98 $840 $0.30 5 105
Vipin Malik 11/16/98 $795 $0.30 5 97
Harry Campbell 11/3/98 $825 $0.35 5.35 102
Brian H. 1/5/98 $841 $0.40 5.2 105
Ed Talenti 11/10/98 $850 $0.41 5.1 108
Mark Lucas 11/5/98 $855 $0.41 5.2 107
Aramis Penland 11/30/98 $860 $0.43 5.35 100
Chan Man Lo 11/11/98 $845 $0.48 5.6 102
CROSSY 11/3/98 $927 $0.48 5.7 110
Gregory Acebu 12/5/98 $862 $0.52 5.3 108
Maxwell 11/14/98 $905 $0.55 5.8 102

Average $811 $0.25 5.04 $101
Deviation $26 $0.10 0.26 $4
*** are analysts #
First Call 11/3/98 $0.08
First Call 11/10/98 $0.10
First Call 11/16/98 $0.11
First Call 12/15/98 $0.15
First Call 1/4/98 $0.16
First Call 1/11/98 $0.18

SI average is $0.25, First Call is $0.18, and whisper # is $0.26.
Good luck everyone.

Maxwell



To: Kevin K. Spurway who wrote (45483)1/11/1999 7:34:00 PM
From: Scot  Respond to of 1572515
 
Kevin and Thread:

An interesting article on the price/performance ratios of Celery and Pee II:

Imagine AMD's profits once they make inroads into the business market! The Emperor has no clothes!

-Scot

techweb.com

<<But the price cuts worried other Wall Street analysts, who wondered if the declines indicated that a price war raged in the last weeks of the year, and whether the price cuts were evidence of yet another first-quarter oversupply of chips.

Using Intel's own tests and the iCOMP test suite, which incorporates benchmarks from both Intel and third parties, Intel claimed at its Web site that a 333-MHz Celeron and 333-MHz Pentium II differ in performance by only 15%. Under Intel's latest price revision, however, the Pentium II commands a 101% price premium in lots of 1,000 units.

At 300 MHz, the difference is even more dramatic. For just a 12% boost in performance, Intel charges Pentium II buyers about $353-170% more than the $90 Intel charges for the 300-MHz "A" Celeron with 128 Kbytes of integrated cache.>>

****

<<Intel's strategy, to this point, has been to use the Celeron as the best bet to unseat AMD in the consumer market, and sell the Pentium II to business buyers," said Linley Gwennap, an analyst at MicroDesign Resources Inc. (MDR), Sebastopol, Calif. "Intel's hope, at this point, is that those buyers would turn up their nose at the Celeron. The danger is that those buyers will notice the Celeron is almost as fast as the [Pentium II].">>