To: Steve Fancy who wrote (11415 ) 1/11/1999 6:03:00 PM From: Steve Fancy Respond to of 22640
Brazil/State's Moratorium -2: Franco's Position Weakens Dow Jones Newswires Later, Rio Grande do Sul - the fourth wealthiest state in terms of gross domestic product - said in a written statement that its BRR800 million debt with the federal government is "unpayable," and that if the situation doesn't change, the state won't be able to honor its commitments this year. Shockwaves from the Minas Gerais announcement last week and continued concerns that other states will follow suits sent Brazilian share prices reeling again Monday. The benchmark index of the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange, known as the Bovespa, spent the entire session Monday in negative territory and ended 5.6% lower at 6403. While analysts said they aren't expecting more states to declare a moratorium, market participants are looking for a continued strong response from the government. "Obviously, the market's focused on Cardoso and how he handles this situation, because it could get out of control," one Sao Paulo trader said, noting that foreign investors are particularly spooked by the episode. Late Monday, the leader of the government-allied coalition in the lower house of Congress, Arnaldo Madeira, said there's room for negotiation with states without restructuring the debt agreements, adding that it calls for "an understanding of the situation," the Estado news agency reported. A group of governors who are opposed to the Minas Gerais decision are slated to meet Tuesday in the northeastern state of Maranhao, which to some analysts signals the tide against Governor Franco is rising. "His position has definitely weakened since last week," said political scientist Fleischer, noting that the decision to stop debt payments may not have the desired political effect of coalescing an opposition front. "He acted without thinking and now it appears that he has no backup plan," Fleischer added. -By Stephen Wisnefski; (55-11) 813-1988; swisnefski@ap.org