To: Giraffe who wrote (26029 ) 1/12/1999 9:27:00 PM From: Giraffe Respond to of 116897
Brazil's state debt debacle jolts global markets (updates with market closings and reactions, Menem remarks, governors' statement) By Mary Milliken SAO PAULO, Jan 12 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Fernando Henrique Cardoso tried to soothe jittery investors on Tuesday as the decision by the country's third-largest state to suspend debt payments to the government threatened financial havoc. ''The market can calm down, the government knows what it's doing, what it's going to do,'' Cardoso told reporters in Rio de Janeiro before leaving for a short seaside vacation. ''We will pay our debts, all will honor their debts.'' Brazil was plunged into chaos last week when Minas Gerais, its third-biggest state, declared a 90-day moratorium on debt payments to the federal government. Cardoso's confident words, as well as a declaration of support from the United States, appeared to fall on deaf ears, both at home and abroad. Worries that Latin America's giants may be dragged again towards devaluation translated into heavy capital flight, estimated at a net $935 million on Tuesday -- or the same level posted at the height of Brazil's turmoil last September. If Tuesday's capital outflow is confirmed, $2 billion will have left the country since the beginning of the month. That compares with reserves two weeks ago of $38 billion, excluding a $9 billion installment payment for international loans. Traders also reported that Brazil's Central Bank had to support the real by selling dollars to keep the currency in its crawling band. The Sao Paulo Stock Exchange's losses deepened in the afternoon, pushing the key index dangerously close to the 10 percent level at which a circuit-breaker would have been activated. It crawled back a bit, but still closed with a 7.6 percent drop. European stock markets, worried about the fate of the world's eighth largest economy, also fell. Spain's blue-chip companies with heavy investments in Brazil led the Spanish stock market down 2.3 percent at closing. Other Latin exchanges were dragged down by the region's kingpin. Argentina's MerVal index .was down 3.5 percent in late trade, while Mexico's IPC index slumped 3 percent. As Brazil turned bleaker, the benchmark 30-year U.S. Treasury bond gained ground as investors fled to safer investments than the fragile emerging markets. Allies rushed to support Cardoso on Tuesday, beginning with U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, who said the Brazilian leader had the support of the global community in his economic reform program. But Rubin added later that there were ''no certainties'' of success. On the basis of the reform pledge, the United States and the International Monetary Fund led the effort to assemble a $41.5 billion line of credit for Brazil in November to help it stave off a crisis while implementing a fiscal clampdown. Argentine President Carlos Menem, whose country's livelihood is strongly linked to Brazil's economy, said he does not expect his neighbor to face devaluation. ''With Brazilian reserves as they are at present, they can face any sort of crisis or run in Brazil,'' Menem told a business group in Washington. Back in Brazil, 17 pro-Cardoso governors, meeting in the northeastern coastal city of Sao Luis, jointly condemned Minas Gerais state Gov. Itamar Franco's moratorium and the damage it inflicted upon the country's credibility. The governors urged Brazil's Congress to vote quickly on final points of the fiscal austerity plan to show markets and international creditors that the country can dig its way out of crisis. ''The credibility of the Brazilian government is not very big right now and something needs to be done to stem this crisis,'' Jeff Bryk, Mexican peso trader at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, told Reuters Financial TV. ''I think people are waiting for something from Brazil that would change sentiment.'' While the amount of cash involved in the moratorium -- about $200 million -- is tiny compared with Brazil's $23.5 billion fiscal savings targets for 1999, the political tension it unleashed has threatened to upset voting in Congress on key cost-cutting measures. Congress was due to vote on Wednesday on corporate tax increases worth at least $2 billion. While the government was expected to win, a defeat would be devastating.