To: Smiley who wrote (3033 ) 1/12/1999 6:05:00 PM From: WTSherman Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5102
<Isn't everyone saying one thing in public and on these boards and at the same time heading to the exit? > Joe, I think you're probably correct, that is what's going on. But, I don't think anything else would be logical. Anyone in this with a substantial profit would be crazy not to take a major portion of that profit off the table before the IPO. Once the IPO is valued on the street it will be pretty easy to figure out what DBCC is worth. The probability is that it isn't $35 or $50. The problem with all the calculations you see on this board is that they are based on the notion that a stock like YHOO or AOL is a standard against which anythign else can be judged. This is flawed logic to say the least. The barriers to entry for someone to get into the same business that YHOO is in are pretty low when you compare it to a market cap of $40B. If the business potential is really that great then lots of big bucks will show up to compete for it and YHOO, Marketwatch, etc., will find that they don't have anything like leverage that people would assume. I've made my share of profits on internet stocks, but, I try not to delude myself about what the long term potential of these stocks is. Its not like TV or making cars or anything else. There no limit to the opportunities for more and more players to come in. I don't own DBCC anymore, but, if I did there is no way I'd be leaving most of my profits out there waiting for the IPO to make real clear that DBCC is worth $10-$15. If you want an absurd comparison think about this: Ford Motor Co has revenues of approximately $165B, profits of more than $6B and cash of $20B. The total market cap for the company is $76B. YHOO hit a market cap yesterday of $45B...how many centuries will it be before YHOO earns $6B??????????? IMHO