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Technology Stocks : Ampex Corporation (AEXCA) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hal Campbell who wrote (4456)1/13/1999 11:03:00 AM
From: Scott Pedigo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17679
 
Well one thing for sure, if there ever is news, it will almost
certainly be good news. But let's assume that:
1) it's really the case that no news is forthcoming
2) the price rise is due to a big investor buying AXC,
not tax-loss sellers getting back in

Now, absent impending news, what could be a reason for a big
investor to buy AXC? Here's a theory I'll throw out - a huge
amount of money has been pouring into the markets and the fund
managers have to put it somewhere, usually in large cap stocks.
But exactly because of this, the large caps are all extremely
overpriced in general (we won't even go into the Internet stocks
here...). The only place left for value investing is mid cap
and small cap stocks, usually ignored because the entire float
would be peanuts for a large fund. But now, in desperation,
at least one manager is even buying chunks of reasonably
priced small and mid cap stocks, in our case AXC. Hey, you can't
say that AXC was overpriced at $1, when this rally started. Also,
it is at least a relatively well-known company. Unlike many of
the thousands of other stocks being traded, like Joe's Restaurant
Holding Company or whatever.

So in this case, the price will stay up until this big investor
has obtained however many shares he told he his broker to buy, and
the heavy volume will continue due to this accumulation, until
all the sellers at his max price are out. Then the price may
stabilize with little volume, if the remaining holders are not
willing to sell at that price and the big investor won't pay more.
This is the situation with one stock I own - CMND - almost zero
volume because nobody wants more at the current price, but nobody
is willing to sell at that price either. Or the price could drift
down again if the big investor quits buying, but has not yet bought
all the available shares at the prevailing price.