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To: Piranha who wrote (10119)1/13/1999 4:39:00 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Respond to of 16960
 
One time charges are not part of the estimates and should be excluded from the earnings report. I can't remember anytime when the analysts' estimates were within 30% of the actuals and I don't see why it should be different this time.

In this quarter the earnings will not be the driving force for the stock. Rather it will be the forward statements that will be the deciding factor, IMO.

good luck,
ST



To: Piranha who wrote (10119)1/13/1999 10:44:00 PM
From: Joe C.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 16960
 
Very nice post, where did you get the data? Joe C.



To: Piranha who wrote (10119)1/14/1999 12:11:00 AM
From: Marc  Respond to of 16960
 
I/B/E/S Estimates for 3DFX INTERACTIVE
(Tkr: TDFX)


88553X10 I/B/E/S EARNINGS ESTIMATES
CURR: USD Updated 1/01/99
UNITED STATES DILUTED: 1.000
3DFX INTERACTIVE
Last Est:12/31/98 Price(12/30/98): 11.19
FY 12/97 Actual EPS: -0.20 Yield: NA

--# OF ESTS-- MEAN
-1MO.- % CHG
PERIOD END MEAN HIGH LOW TOTAL UP DN 1MO.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
FISC. YR. 12/98 0.88 0.97 0.83 3 1 0 0.0

FISC. YR. 12/99 0.66 0.95 0.25 7 0 1 -1.5

QTR. 12/98 0.05 0.10 0.00 7 0 0 0.0

QTR. 3/99 0.06 0.12 0.01 7 0 1 -11.1

LONG TERM GR. (%) 27.5* 30.0 15.0 5 0 0 NA*
* read Median in place of Mean for LTG


88553X10 I/B/E/S EARNINGS MOMENTUM
CURR: USD Updated 1/01/99
UNITED STATES
3DFX INTERACTIVE
FY 12/97 Actual EPS: -0.20 Last Est:12/31/98

--%CHG. IN MEAN-- -LAST 4 WEEK-
# OF 1 1 3 #OF
PERIOD END MEAN ESTS WK. MO. MO. MEAN ESTS
----------------------------------------------------------------------
FISC. YR. 12/98 0.88 3 0.0 0.0 -12.2 NA 0

FISC. YR. 12/99 0.66 7 0.0 -1.5 -42.8 0.85 1

QTR. 12/98 0.05 7 0.0 0.0 NA NA 0

QTR. 3/99 0.06 7 0.0 -11.1 NA 0.12 1

LONG TERM GR. (%) 27.5* 5 NA NA NA
* read Median in place of Mean for LTG


88553X10 RELATIVES - GROWTH, P/E & EPS TRENDS
CURR: USD Updated 1/01/99
UNITED STATES
3DFX INTERACTIVE

IND.: OTHER COMPUTERS (207 Cos.)
SECTOR: TECHNOLOGY (1775 Cos.) % Mkt. Cap. of Industry: 0%

-COMPANY VS-
CO. IND. S&P500 IND. S&P5
----------------------------------------------------------------------
QTR 03/99 VS QTR 03/98 EPS% -88.6 54.2 9.0 -163.5 -986.3
12/98 VS 12/97 EPS% -541.7 -12.9 -0.5 N+ N+
12/99 VS 12/98 EPS% -25.6 52.9 18.4 -48.4 -139.2

P/E 12/98 12.7 57.1 28.2 22.2 45.0
P/E 12/99 17.0 34.6 23.8 49.3 71.6
PRICE %CHG 1MO. -13.5 11.2 5.3 -120.4 -255.5

12/98 EPS %CHG 1MO. 0.0 -0.6 -0.6 0.0 0.0
12/99 EPS %CHG 1MO. -1.5 -0.4 -0.9 395.0 166.4








88553X10 I/B/E/S QUARTERLY EARNINGS SURPRISE HISTORY
CURR: USD Updated 1/01/99
UNITED STATES 3DFX INTERACTIVE
FY 12/98 MEAN EPS: 0.88

QTR. ACTUAL EXPECTED PERCENT # OF C.V. S.U.E. PRICE
END EPS EPS* SURPRISE ESTS. PERCENT SCORE ($)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
12/98e 0.05 7 8.57 11.19

09/98 -0.12 -0.07 -63.64 6 -47.76 -1.33 10.50
06/98 0.54 0.48 13.09 4 2.01 6.53 19.81
03/98 0.50 0.24 106.61 5 20.95 5.09 29.19

12/97 0.15 0.08 82.93 5 21.82 3.80 22.13
09/97 -0.07 -0.08 12.50 2 -53.03 0.24 17.25
06/97 -0.17 NA NA 0 NA NA NA

* - Consensus EPS just prior to EPS announcement
e - Current (unreported) Quarter EPS
S.U.E. Score = (Act.EPS - Exp.EPS) / Std.Dev. of Exp.EPS