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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Knighty Tin who wrote (43409)1/14/1999 3:53:00 PM
From: epicure  Respond to of 132070
 
I did not see this posted here yet:

Hardware shares dip on earnings fears

By Binti Harvey, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 3:34 PM ET Jan 14, 1999
NewsWatch

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Negative sentiment in the wake of
fourth-quarter earnings results weighed on computer hardware and
semiconductor stocks Thursday.

The Goldman Sachs Computer Hardware Index
shaved off 0.7 percent and the Philadelphia
Semiconductor Index tumbled 2.4 percent amid
concern about March-quarter earnings risks for
Apple Computer (AAPL) and Advanced Micro
Devices.

Apple lost 6.5 percent, down 3 to 43 1/2, even
after a positive first-quarter earnings surprise. See
related story. A downgrade from Salomon Smith
Barney accounted for much of the damage, as
analyst Richard Gardner said retail channels may be
overstuffed with iMacs.

Gardner downgraded Apple shares to "neutral"
from "buy," citing increased second-quarter
earnings risk as a result of the high inventories.

Other PC makers followed Apple's lead.
International Business Machines (IBM) fell 3 3/8 to
182 1/8, Dell (DELL) lost 5/16 to 79, Gateway (GTW) fell 1 1/2 to 55
1/2 and Compaq (CPQ) dipped 1/2 to 45 3/8.

Semiconductor issues also flagged after AMD reported a fourth-quarter
profit that missed consensus by 4 cents, excluding a tax benefit. See
related story. AMD shares dropped 4 3/4 to 23 as analysts questioned
the company's ability to grow earnings in the first quarter.

Most chip issues lost steam in sympathy. Intel (INTC) fell 4 1/4 to 134
3/4, Micron (MU) fell 7/8 to 70 1/2 and Texas Instruments (TXN) lost 2
to 91 1/2.



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (43409)1/14/1999 3:55:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Man are you bullish -- first the prediction for the S&P and now this: <VBG>

latimes.com:80/excite/990114/t000003884.html

>>He cut his recommended equity fund weighting Wednesday to
40% from 80%.
Burke said he "wouldn't be surprised to see an 8%-to-10%
correction" in broad market indexes over the next month or two.
He added, however, that the latest results differ in one key
respect from the high-optimism readings of August 1987 and
January 1992 that preceded market downturns.
"In both of those previous surveys, the bears were down to
around 19%, but now they're hanging in there at 30%. Until we see
more capitulation, I wouldn't get too panicked." <<



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (43409)1/14/1999 3:58:00 PM
From: Robert  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Mike --

2 questions for you:

1. What is your exit strategy on your puts? I know this is WAY premature, but how do you decide when to sell? I would guess you have price targets, but do you adjust them on the fly? How close to expiration do you ride them?

2. With brokers both ceasing MM coverage and even trading in general in the NUTZ and with margin requirements being tightened almost across the board for trading in the NUTZ, it seems to me that when the time comes, not only will there be a stampede towards the door, but the door is actually shrinking! Are any of these rules made retroactive? Meaning, if margin requirements are tightened, might we start getting a slew of margin calls if the NUTZ ever truly crack?

TIA

-- Robert