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Strategies & Market Trends : Trader J's Inner Circle -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dennyv who wrote (4642)1/15/1999 7:24:00 PM
From: Wes Stevens  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 56535
 
I will be more then willing to share mine and how I got it. I was hoping to make it a project for the thread. There are people here that are much better at this kind of math then me!



To: dennyv who wrote (4642)1/15/1999 7:43:00 PM
From: Trader J  Respond to of 56535
 
Dennyv and All: First thing, pleas make sure you to use the following format when posting here if at all possible. This has been a rule for some time but we have not reiterated it in a while. Please use the following format:

<Poster>: <Issue> - <Text>

For example:

Banchee: IMON - Where are you taking us to dinner tonight?

Thanks a bunch, this make the thread much easier to follow and skim quickly when in a hurry.

TJ



To: dennyv who wrote (4642)1/15/1999 7:50:00 PM
From: Trader J  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 56535
 
Dennyv: NAVR - I am trying to not have unreasonable expectations with NAVR. And this includes lofty price targets. Targets are dangerous in that they can sway ones perception of value and perhaps lead you to holding when you should be selling. I try to allow the price action of any issue to determine my buys/sells.

However, potential future valuations (targets) are a fact of life and we all use them. For NAVR I personally think that we will see a value of somewhere between 30-45 as we IPO. This has a lot of ifs tied to it. This could happen "if" the Inets stay hot, "if" NAVR management doesn't blow it, "if" NetRadio is still considered a hot play, "if" they will ever announce the IPO. A lot of ifs but most of which I think are probable.

MKTW did extremely well today and NAVR now has 4 things going for it.

1) 1/3 of the float of DBCC
2) 85% ownership currently in NetRadio
3) IPO still to be announced, expectation of news is everything.
4) The success of MKTW today.

and arguably:

5) NetRadio is now the most awaited IPO of the pack

I think the fall of DBCC will cause many to be a bit more concerned about getting into NAVR at this point, but I believe they will come.

Beware the time span between the announcement of the IPO and the actual date. If it is 45 days out, we will drop due to expectation.

Good luck, hope this helps.

TJ



To: dennyv who wrote (4642)1/15/1999 8:29:00 PM
From: SteveDavis  Respond to of 56535
 
dennyv,
NAVR: I think that NAVR will run up just like DBCC and then one has to be prepared to take profits. It will take the same path as DBCC and just follow that trail and expect to see a high spike before the IPO.

IMO,
Steve Davis