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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread Formerly Known as No Rest For The Wicked -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: puborectalis who wrote (8051)1/17/1999 10:41:00 AM
From: Jack Colton  Respond to of 90042
 
This forecast represents the best case scenario over the next few years. More realistically, incremental
revenue of about $20 billion by 2002 seems probable. This revenue mix in terms of applications could
be broken out as follows:

Packetized Data - $3 billion (remember, the business is transitioning from Circuit
Switching to Packet Switching, playing to Cisco's core competency versus Lucent's
expertise in Circuit)



I think $3Billion is way too low. Especially by 2002. There are going to be a lot of "for profit" voice over IP networks put in place by then, and I think the circuit switching will decline faster.

Especially is less developed countries... It's kind of like cellular phones. If you don't already have the cable plant in place, cellular as the primary telephone service is actually cheaper and a whole lot faster. Speaking of cellular, or digital cellular, like Nextel - that is voice over IP. Nextel is the largest CSCO user in GA (where I am) and maybe in each of their markets.

jc