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Pastimes : Daytrading and Stock Trading Addiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sword who wrote (255)1/17/1999 4:55:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 330
 
Hi Sword; For the most part I agree with all four of the posts,
I doubt many people can be day traders, ( I'm not one ).
If I were to go that route I doubt I would have the time to post
on SI, but I don't see myself ever becoming a day trader.
There was one of the post that don't fit my style, I do play
distressed stocks, ( very distressed ) and that's not for every
one, I couldn't believe how they took SME to a 1/4 and let her
sit there..I took on a ton at 5/16th, no way she wasn't going
to bounce.

I do use the web , short term position trade, and exploit pain.
Learning to exploit pain requires having felt some, and looking
at how you goofed at the time, then learning that no matter what you say others are going to make all the mistakes you made, and some
one is going to make money off them.

By Short term I mean from 2 or 3 days to 6 months. If I get caught
having to hold for 6 months you know I don't like it, but it
happens. I never step all the way in at once, any more,
as I have had to do what every one says don't do; I will
average down till it hurts. <G>
AND don't second guess yourself. The toughest one for me this
year was CMO, I bought to soon and had to double down twice more,
but I rode her to the bottom, and fought off all the bashers,
and did what they say don't do, and even sold puts, and
it saved my ass.

As it is when she bounced I lighten up and sold calls on the
rest, turning that lemon into lemon-aid.
My mistake on her was trying to grab the bounce to soon, it was
stupid and I knew better at the time, it was really an oversight,
on my part, I forgot at the time about the likely hood the
lawyers would jump her bones, still it didn't change the basic
reason I bought her to start with, So after the ambulance chasers
banged her on down and shook every one out, I loaded the boat.

The only reason to dump a pick you make ( not if the price
falls ) but only if the basic reasons you made the pick changes.

So I do tend to play some cheap stocks ( But NEVER OTC:BB stocks )
but I look cheap ones over hard, and try to wait until all the bad news and lawyers and down grades have slammed them to below CASH on
hand. Any one with a drop of sense had to know SME would get
an extension on her missed loan payment, on top of that she had
the cash to pay it. She may not have a future but she came up
400% off her low. I see plays like that a lot safer than buying options.

As for option buying I did enough to know a few tricks, but learning
the tricks was expensive. All in all calls will do better than
puts, but the more time you buy the cheaper the premium, my best
hit this year was CPQ when she went to 23, I loaded up on
JAN 30 leaps, and they were cheap too..<G>
Not all stocks have "good" options, in fact 90% of them are
over priced.

I will also bet against the small time shorts that pile on a
issue if the numbers get right. FP is one such stock that is
now over shorted. I don't care how low they drive her I'll buy
more, in fact I'm begging them on Yahoo to short more.
Same with CMO, I'm begging them to short her back down..<G>

I'm still staying clear of the oil service sector,
and think any rally in Brazil will fizzle.

If the market turns more south from here I will re-short the
MDY. I like the SPDRs, and some no load funds, and
play baskets more than individual picks.
Some funds are fun and you can position with them with less risk,
but you do have to do some work, you can't count on tips you
pick up scanning SI.

------------------
Jim