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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: fooledalot who wrote (43835)1/17/1999 3:21:00 PM
From: Kenya AA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
f: Over the long run, the underlying fundamentals of a company will generally converge with basic laws of supply and demand to determine a given stock's "value."

In TA we say - Fundamentals don't matter - until they do.

K



To: fooledalot who wrote (43835)1/17/1999 5:00:00 PM
From: rupert1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Fooledalot: I think your conclusions about COMPAQ's prospects are cogent.

As for TA, I think that it deals with a sub-category of mathematics - namely, statistics. Essentially, it attempts to establish probabilities from a mathematical analysis of the past behaviour of stocks. But the language and style of some of its practitioners gives the impression that it deals not in probabilities, but in certitudes.

In an abstract sense I can accept that it is rational to attempt to refine a system of prediction based on probability, but in real life, there are some many unforseeable variables that can render predictions void, that the effort hardly seems worth it. If those who labour over the esoteric language of TA would just spend the time and effort understanding fundamentals of the economy, the market, the sector and the stock, they might do better.