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To: Loren S. who wrote (4724)1/19/1999 5:25:00 PM
From: Jimmy Dunn  Respond to of 9824
 
A broker friend of mine thinks that when
the stock gapped about .30, that set the
level for strong bottom pressure.

I want to first acknowledge that I am not
the worlds greatest technical chart person:-)
Therefore, I would encourage anyone interested
to do their own work on this. That said,
I have just run the day's activities through
the tech charts on Wall Street City. It
should be noted that different people who
do technical charts and use somewhat different
formulas can get different results. However,
I did use Wall Street City's charts as is,
mostly looking at 5 and 10 day charts.

I was a little surprised that they looked
as good as they did, but once again, I encourage
everyone to do their own DD.

Bollinger Band: The stock price is at the
bottom of the band. My understanding is that
the stock will have a tendency to move to
the top of the band, meaning a price increase.
In fact, several of the surges we have seen in
the last week started out below the band.

MACD does not show buy or sell points in the
short term.

Momentum shows a buy signal late in the day
(Looking at 5 and 10 day charts)

Moving average shows three buy signals late in
the day.

Negative Volume Index indicates a strong uptrend.
However, keep in mind that Negative Volume Index
is probably more applicable with larger, institutionally
traded stocks.

On Balance Volume also shows an uptrend leveling
at end of day, but well above the stock price.

Positive Volume Index: Surprisingly, this was
the only tech chart to indicate a down turn. Most
of the time indicators are more mixed.

Stochastics indicates that the day saw two different
buy points looking at both 5 and 10 day charts.

Wilder RSI does not show buy or sell points in the
short term.

I looked at short term charts mostly because I
do not feel like charts work as well when there have
been significant changes (such as press releases
that have shown some fairly long term effects on
the stock price.



To: Loren S. who wrote (4724)1/19/1999 5:42:00 PM
From: Jimmy Dunn  Respond to of 9824
 
Looking at these charts as they
compare to the history of the
stock, it looks like the Moving
Average, Bollinger Band, On
Balance Volume and (surprisingly
to me) Negative Volume Index
have been the most predictive
(My opinion only).

In fact, the one negative tech
chart, the positive volume Index
seems to be inverse with what the
stock does.

The stock has usually moved
strongly up after clustered moving
average buy signals like at the
end of the day. Also, both
Negative Volume Index and On
Balance Volume appear to indicate
an uptrend, and have looked good
at predicting historical surges
in the short term.



To: Loren S. who wrote (4724)1/19/1999 5:55:00 PM
From: Jimmy Dunn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9824
 
One final thing. Looking at these
charts in the short term is not an
indication of long term price increase.
About the only thing that I hope they
are telling me is that the stock
should stay even, or ahead of the
current price tomorrow, and maybe
go up a notch. But keep in mind, that
if charts could tell it all, ... :-)