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Strategies & Market Trends : LastShadow's Position Trading -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LastShadow who wrote (6773)1/20/1999 8:33:00 AM
From: AlienTech  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43080
 
Well PSIX looks to open @ 36 7/8 now. hmmmm.



To: LastShadow who wrote (6773)1/20/1999 8:38:00 AM
From: LastShadow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 43080
 
Well, I have thought about it and researched it a bit...

My guess is that CPQ will buy MSPG. Compaq is interested in
buying a media company or a service provider. MSPG's recent purchase of Netcom customer base of over 400,000 individual Internet access accounts brings their total of dial-up subscribers over the one million mark. MindSpring offers local Internet service throughout the U.S. The combination of MSPG, Alta Vista (from the DEC acquisition) and Shopping.com (CPQ's most recent buy) would make a complete Internet package for CPQ. MSPG's Market cap of about $2.8 bln also makes company affordable.

That means MSPG stock could go up another 40 - 50%, and makes the $100 CPQ price someone posted earlier quite logical. CPQ was my favotite at its last split. It's looking to be my main position hold again.

lastshadow



To: LastShadow who wrote (6773)1/20/1999 3:54:00 PM
From: Alex Engelgardt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43080
 
GMGC

General Magic made a name for itself a very long time ago in the
field of distributed computing by almost singlehandedly putting the
concept of an 'agent' (a mobile autonomous thingie that roams the
network and does many a Good Thing (tm)) into production. Since then,
they've tried to parlay that technology into more palatable consumer
offerings and failed, albeit not miserably. I think MSFT is eyeing
them for two reasons: 1) agent technology, undersold and undermarketed in the hands of General Magic 2) Products for wireless markets using
the agent technology.

The latter (wireless market) is infinitely more important and profitable than the former but MSFT's marketing machine could use
some fuel as well and agent technology is very easy to hype. It would also make sense for MSFT to buy GMGC as part of a series of countermeasures against Sun and its Java-based Jini technology that allows consumer devices to communicate with each other via a network.

While I know a thing or two about General Magic, wireless market is going to be the next BIG thing. I am willing to bet a small fortune
on this. Specifically, the intersection of palm computing and
consumer services/Internet comes to mind as the most profitable
sector of wireless market, at least as far as NASDAQ is concerned.

In the Silicon Valley and places 'round
here, VCs are VERY eager to fund startups who target the wireless/mobile market. The startups are also very eager to put out -- I know a number of talented engineers who (as I suddenly found out)
are working on projects that involve mobile/wireless devices.
Right now, I would estimate that in 1-2 years, the technology will mature enough to be cheap and accessable, prompting the paradigm
shift in the service arena, portals in particular.

Alex.