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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SKIP PAUL who wrote (21740)1/21/1999 1:25:00 AM
From: Clarksterh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Skip - It just occurred to me that 20% licence growth might be better than 90% Revenue growth because licence revenue goes straight to the bottomline.

Actually, another way of stating my major point is that among all of the areas where Qualcomm makes money, only the handset revenues and contract services grew sequentially last quarter - ASIC's and royalties were flat and infrastructure was down. (Note that I don't know anything about Omnitracks or e-mail, and also note that Gregg is right that they hinted in the CC at the fact that they were probably being conservative on royalties this quarter.) I really do believe that in general that it is unlikely that ASP is likely to continually decline faster than unit growth, but it is something that needs explaining so that the analysts feel comfortable with growth predictions for royalties and ASIC revenues.

Clark

PS Given that their GM is 28%, and the revenues therein are 20x larger than royalties, I'd rather have a 5% growth in revenues minus royalties since it results in greater gross profit than 20% growth in royalties alone. Of course this isn't perfect since some of the op exp are really associated with product lines, but ... .