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Strategies & Market Trends : Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: kx who wrote (145)	1/26/1999 3:22:00 PM
From: Q.	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 167

Below are the AAII survey data, updated last week. I cut out the middle part of the data, becaust the list was otherwise too long for SI to accept as a post. The two-week average of 53.5% bulls has almost, but not quite, reached the 55% threshold that has in the past indicated a small-cap correction in the upcoming weeks. S&P 500 Percent Percent Percent Weekly Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Close ============================================= 07/17/87 314.59 07/24/87 36% 50% 14% 309.27 07/31/87 26% 48% 26% 318.66 08/07/87 56% 15% 29% 323.00 08/14/87 45% 35% 20% 333.99 08/21/87 66% 28% 6% 335.90 08/28/87 52% 18% 30% 323.04 09/04/87 42% 17% 41% 316.70 09/11/87 50% 23% 27% 321.98 09/18/87 60% 29% 11% 314.86 09/25/87 53% 17% 30% 320.16 10/02/87 44% 26% 30% 328.07 10/09/87 46% 39% 15% 311.07 10/16/87 37% 30% 33% 282.70 10/23/87 39% 30% 31% 248.22 10/30/87 44% 23% 33% 251.79 11/06/87 47% 31% 22% 250.41 11/13/87 31% 41% 28% 245.64 11/20/87 39% 42% 19% 242.00 11/27/87 27% 46% 27% 240.34 12/04/87 25% 33% 42% 223.92 12/11/87 23% 45% 32% 235.32 12/18/87 33% 40% 27% 249.16 12/24/87 28% 52% 20% 252.02 12/31/87 25% 49% 26% 247.08 01/08/88 34% 46% 20% 243.40 01/15/88 34% 40% 26% 252.05 01/22/88 21% 48% 31% 246.50 01/29/88 26% 45% 29% 257.07 02/05/88 32% 53% 15% 250.96 02/12/88 32% 46% 22% 257.63 02/19/88 27% 49% 24% 261.61 02/26/88 30% 51% 19% 262.46 03/04/88 38% 40% 22% 267.30 08/02/96 29% 38% 33% 662.49 08/09/96 27% 42% 31% 662.1 01/03/97 43% 33% 24% 748.03 01/10/97 36% 39% 25% 759.50 01/17/97 42% 32% 26% 776.17 01/24/97 37% 41% 22% 777.56 01/31/97 51% 33% 16% 786.16 02/07/97 47% 29% 24% 789.56 02/14/97 45% 37% 18% 808.48 02/21/97 44% 36% 20% 801.77 02/28/97 63% 22% 15% 790.82 03/07/97 43% 37% 20% 804.97 03/14/97 34% 36% 30% 793.17 03/21/97 36% 42% 22% 784.10 03/28/97 27% 40% 33% 773.88 04/04/97 29% 40% 31% 757.90 04/11/97 26% 37% 37% 737.65 04/18/97 31% 41% 28% 766.34 04/25/97 28% 40% 32% 765.37 05/02/97 27% 44% 29% 812.97 05/09/97 30% 44% 26% 824.78 05/16/97 41% 36% 23% 829.75 05/23/97 40% 35% 25% 847.03 05/30/97 40% 40% 20% 848.28 06/06/97 52% 33% 15% 858.01 06/13/97 49% 35% 16% 893.27 06/20/97 59% 26% 15% 898.70 06/27/97 52% 25% 23% 887.30 07/04/97 45% 30% 25% 916.92 07/11/97 49% 33% 18% 916.68 07/18/97 54% 30% 16% 915.30 07/25/97 53% 25% 22% 938.79 08/01/97 48% 26% 26% 947.14 08/08/97 49% 28% 23% 933.54 08/15/97 49% 30% 21% 900.81 08/22/97 47% 33% 20% 923.55 08/29/97 50% 28% 22% 899.47 09/05/97 37% 38% 25% 929.05 09/12/97 42% 36% 22% 923.91 09/19/97 40% 44% 16% 950.51 09/26/97 39% 42% 19% 945.22 10/03/97 38% 43% 19% 965.03 10/10/97 43% 43% 14% 966.98 10/17/97 43% 36% 21% 944.16 10/24/97 40% 46% 14% 941.64 10/31/97 41% 36% 23% 914.62 11/07/97 38% 37% 25% 927.51 11/14/97 45% 38% 17% 928.35 11/21/97 40% 38% 22% 963.09 11/28/97 40% 40% 20% 955.40 12/05/97 49% 33% 18% 983.79 12/12/97 46% 37% 17% 953.39 12/19/97 40% 41% 19% 946.78 12/26/97 41% 36% 23% 936.46 01/02/98 34% 35% 31% 975.04 01/09/98 42% 40% 18% 927.69 01/16/98 38% 45% 17% 961.51 01/23/98 31% 39% 30% 957.59 01/30/98 38% 42% 20% 980.28 02/06/98 30% 45% 25% 1012.64 02/13/98 45% 36% 19% 1020.09 02/20/98 42% 43% 15% 1034.21 02/27/98 53% 33% 14% 1049.34 03/05/98 53% 34% 13% 1055.69 03/12/98 54% 36% 20% 1068.61 03/19/98 40% 38% 22% 1099.16 03/26/98 45% 35% 20% 1093.55 04/02/98 46% 32% 22% 1108.15 04/09/98 41% 36% 23% 1110.67 04/16/98 53% 32% 15% 1122.72 04/23/98 40% 38% 22% 1107.90 04/30/98 44% 31% 25% 1121.00 05/07/98 43% 34% 23% 1108.14 05/14/98 33% 41% 26% 1108.73 05/21/98 38% 39% 23% 1110.47 05/28/98 34% 40% 26% 1090.82 06/04/98 25% 44% 31% 1113.86 06/11/98 27% 49% 24% 1098.84 06/18/98 29% 38% 33% 1100.65 06/25/98 28% 44% 28% 1133.20 07/02/98 33% 48% 19% 1146.42 07/09/98 36% 44% 20% 1164.33 07/16/98 35% 44% 21% 1186.75 07/23/98 37% 39% 24% 1140.80 07/30/98 44% 36% 20% 1120.67 08/06/98 30% 44% 26% 1089.45 08/13/98 27% 38% 35% 1062.75 08/20/98 25% 42% 33% 1081.24 08/27/98 23% 32% 45% 1027.04 09/03/98 23% 37% 40% 973.89 09/10/98 29% 31% 40% 1009.06 09/17/98 34% 35% 31% 1020.09 09/24/98 34% 38% 28% 1044.75 10/01/98 32% 35% 33% 1002.60 10/08/98 25% 43% 32% 984.39 10/15/98 25% 34% 41% 1056.42 10/22/98 32% 35% 33% 1070.67 10/29/98 43% 36% 21% 1098.67 11/05/98 38% 42% 20% 1141.01 11/12/98 50% 36% 14% 1125.72 11/19/98 40% 42% 18% 1163.55 11/25/98 48% 35% 17% 1192.33 12/03/98 49% 30% 21% 1176.74 12/10/98 44% 30% 26% 1166.46 12/17/98 41% 34% 25% 1188.03 12/23/98 34% 34% 32% 1226.27 12/31/98 41% 37% 22% 1229.23 01/07/99 38% 39% 23% 1275.09 01/14/99 51% 28% 21% 1243.26 01/21/99 56% 24% 20%